This week’s analytical highlights
The numbers worth knowing before the slate kicks off — computed from our EPA, identity, and situational stack. Team profiles are from the 2025 season.
Profile Mismatches
The week's most stylistically divergent matchups — where two teams' analytical fingerprints clash hardest. Air-raid vs. ground-and-pound, havoc defense vs. methodical offense. Distance is measured across 44 features via the same engine that powers The Archive.
The Long Haul
The week's longest road trips. Travel is one of the few purely descriptive schedule factors — these are the teams covering the most ground to play.
Rest Watch
Where one team arrives on materially less rest than its opponent — a short week against a team coming off a bye, for instance.
Trend Lines
Teams whose late-season EPA trend diverged most from their season baseline — who was rising and who was fading as last season closed.
Reality Check Watch
Where the win-loss record and our per-drive model rank disagree most — teams the record over- or under-states relative to the analytical profile.
Public vs Analytical
The biggest gaps between the AP poll and our model — teams the public and the data see differently.
Historical Echoes
The upcoming matchups with the strongest historical analogs — past games whose team profiles most resemble this one. Descriptive context, not a prediction.