Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Amon G. Carter Stadium· TCU -9.5 · O/U 56.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,081 mi / 0 miForecast: 77°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
TCU -9.5 · O/U 56.5
opened TCU -8.5, now TCU -9.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
West Virginia as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3-1 ATS (7 games) · 7-0 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 14-13-1 ATS (28 games) · 14-13 O/U (27 games)
TCU as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-15 ATS (32 games) · 15-17 O/U (32 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWest Virginia · 8 of 9
497.1
Yards / game
392.3
2.85
Points / drive
1.78
5.0
TDs / game
2.8
49.5
3rd-down %
41.5
66.7
RZ TD %
59.1
0.0
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.1
Sacks / game
2.3
6.1
TFL / game
5.0
12.3
Havoc / game
12.2
27.6 / 72.4
Pass / Rush split
49.0 / 51.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When West Virginia has the ball
West Virginia's early-down offense ranks 45th of 138. TCU's early-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
West Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 30th of 138. TCU's passing-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
West Virginia's third-down offense ranks 15th of 138. TCU's third-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
West Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 69th of 138. TCU's red-zone defense ranks 24th of 138.
When TCU has the ball
TCU's early-down offense ranks 127th of 138. West Virginia's early-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
TCU's passing-down offense ranks 104th of 138. West Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
TCU's third-down offense ranks 56th of 138. West Virginia's third-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
TCU's red-zone offense ranks 58th of 138. West Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 83rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.195 last 3 vs 0.163 season)
▼Defense form0.342 last 3 vs 0.205 season (+0.137)
▼Offense form-0.180 last 3 vs -0.077 season (-0.103)
Defense formabout the same(-0.130 last 3 vs -0.135 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMichael Hawkins Jr. — 1519 yd, 10 TD
RushingCam Cook — 833 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingDJ Epps — 556 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaden Craig — 1694 yd, 10 TD
RushingJeremy Payne — 429 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingEd Small — 494 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
West Virginia offense
45thof 1380.071385 plays
vs
TCU defense · allowed
26thof 138-0.114West Virginia defense · allowed
137thof 1380.280vs
TCU offense
127thof 138-0.128278 plays
Passing downs
West Virginia offense
30thof 1380.208172 plays
vs
TCU defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.092145 plays
West Virginia defense · allowed
124thof 1380.241156 plays
vs
TCU offense
104thof 138-0.089144 plays
Third down
West Virginia offense
15thof 1380.383108 plays
vs
TCU defense · allowed
4thof 138-0.36187 plays
West Virginia defense · allowed
71stof 1380.01984 plays
vs
TCU offense
56thof 1380.13483 plays
Red zone
West Virginia offense
69thof 1380.01091 plays
vs
TCU defense · allowed
24thof 138-0.24744 plays · small sample
West Virginia defense · allowed
83rdof 1380.00961 plays
vs
TCU offense
58thof 1380.05157 plays · small sample
Field advancement
West Virginia offense
28thof 13855.3%vs
TCU defense · allowed
12thof 13832.3%West Virginia defense · allowed
121stof 13852.2%vs
TCU offense
72ndof 13848.5%Away
Home
West Virginia Offense vs TCU DefenseTCU · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.22#25
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.35
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.134#26
500 plays
EPA/Play
#16-0.151
allowed · 344 plays
0.161#27
143 plays
EPA/Pass
#34-0.126
allowed · 172 plays
0.124#27
357 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#12-0.176
allowed · 172 plays
47.2%#68
500 plays
Success Rate
#739.0%
allowed · 344 plays
45.5%#68
Pass Success Rate
#2238.5%
allowed
47.9%#81
Rush Success Rate
#538.5%
allowed
55.3%#28
Available Yards %
#1232.3%
allowed
71.1#80
Net Field Position
#2973.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.071#45
385 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#26-0.114
allowed
6.5#34
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#277.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
West Virginia Defense vs TCU OffenseTCU · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.24#122
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#106-0.18
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.218#137
allowed · 445 plays
EPA/Play
#116-0.091
371 plays
0.413#137
allowed · 200 plays
EPA/Pass
#540.066
183 plays
0.058#98
allowed · 245 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#136-0.244
188 plays
50.8%#133
allowed · 445 plays
Success Rate
#13041.2%
371 plays
53.5%#138
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#7644.8%
47.7%#84
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13637.8%
52.2%#121
allowed
Available Yards %
#7248.5%
72.9#37
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3068.4
0.280#137
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#127-0.128
278 plays
6.8#100
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1247.8
2026 · Situational EPATCU · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.154
481 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.091
371 plays
0.231
437 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.151
344 plays
0.010
91 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.051
57 plays · small sample
0.009
61 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.247
44 plays · small sample
0.383
108 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.134
83 plays
0.019
84 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.361
87 plays