Fourth Down Data
Oregon4-2 · Big Ten@Illinois3-3 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET· Memorial Stadium· Oregon -9 · O/U 50
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 1,794 mi / 0 miForecast: 70°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oregon -9 · O/U 50
opened Oregon -9.5, now Oregon -9 · total opened 51.5, now 50
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oregon as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-12 ATS (28 games) · 12-16 O/U (28 games)
Illinois as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 8-9-1 ATS (18 games) · 4-14 O/U (18 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOregon · 7 of 9
422.7
Yards / game
405.5
2.35
Points / drive
3.08
4.5
TDs / game
3.5
37.0
3rd-down %
44.8
67.9
RZ TD %
60.0
0.0
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.2
Sacks / game
0.8
4.7
TFL / game
3.7
13.7
Havoc / game
8.8
51.7 / 48.3
Pass / Rush split
52.0 / 48.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oregon has the ball
Oregon's early-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Illinois's early-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
Oregon's passing-down offense ranks 86th of 138. Illinois's passing-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Oregon's third-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Illinois's third-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Oregon's red-zone offense ranks 62nd of 138. Illinois's red-zone defense ranks 112th of 138.
When Illinois has the ball
Illinois's early-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Oregon's early-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Illinois's passing-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Oregon's passing-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
Illinois's third-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Oregon's third-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Illinois's red-zone offense ranks 119th of 138. Oregon's red-zone defense ranks 14th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.111 last 3 vs 0.015 season (-0.126)
Defense formabout the same(-0.161 last 3 vs -0.151 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.072 last 3 vs 0.101 season)
▼Defense form0.229 last 3 vs 0.168 season (+0.062)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDante Moore — 926 yd, 9 TD
RushingJordon Davison — 330 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingEvan Stewart — 352 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKatin Houser — 1440 yd, 12 TD
RushingAidan Laughery — 391 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingCollin Dixon — 608 yd, 9 TD