Rest 7d / 14dTravel 1,901 mi / 0 miForecast: 76°F · wind 18 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
BYU -6.5 · O/U 43.5
total opened 44, now 43.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
BYU as road favorite
2026 overall: 6-0 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-8 ATS (20 games) · 10-10 O/U (20 games)
UCF as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 · TraditionalBYU · 7 of 9
421.2
Yards / game
354.8
2.98
Points / drive
2.24
4.3
TDs / game
4.0
56.5
3rd-down %
35.6
77.8
RZ TD %
77.3
0.5
Turnover margin
0.7
1.8
Sacks / game
2.0
5.8
TFL / game
5.2
13.3
Havoc / game
12.3
41.9 / 58.1
Pass / Rush split
46.6 / 53.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When BYU has the ball
BYU's early-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. UCF's early-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
BYU's passing-down offense ranks 25th of 138. UCF's passing-down defense ranks 76th of 138.
BYU's third-down offense ranks 8th of 138. UCF's third-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
BYU's red-zone offense ranks 53rd of 138. UCF's red-zone defense ranks 59th of 138.
When UCF has the ball
UCF's early-down offense ranks 85th of 138. BYU's early-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
UCF's passing-down offense ranks 59th of 138. BYU's passing-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
UCF's third-down offense ranks 97th of 138. BYU's third-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
UCF's red-zone offense ranks 20th of 138. BYU's red-zone defense ranks 107th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
BYU offense
33rdof 1380.092253 plays
vs
UCF defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.061BYU defense · allowed
19thof 138-0.131vs
UCF offense
85thof 138-0.016249 plays
Passing downs
BYU offense
25thof 1380.233104 plays
vs
UCF defense · allowed
76thof 138-0.005151 plays
BYU defense · allowed
30thof 138-0.128142 plays
vs
UCF offense
59thof 1380.055126 plays
Third down
BYU offense
8thof 1380.47069 plays
vs
UCF defense · allowed
61stof 138-0.01391 plays
BYU defense · allowed
49thof 138-0.05284 plays
vs
UCF offense
97thof 138-0.06473 plays
Red zone
BYU offense
53rdof 1380.06874 plays
vs
UCF defense · allowed
59thof 138-0.09660 plays
BYU defense · allowed
107thof 1380.10649 plays · small sample
vs
UCF offense
20thof 1380.24061 plays
Field advancement
BYU offense
30thof 13854.4%vs
UCF defense · allowed
51stof 13840.9%BYU defense · allowed
24thof 13835.5%vs
UCF offense
99thof 13844.3%BYU Offense vs UCF DefenseBYU · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.20#28
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#270.22
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.145#22
319 plays
EPA/Play
#54-0.043
allowed · 383 plays
0.140#36
145 plays
EPA/Pass
#780.000
allowed · 188 plays
0.148#20
174 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#40-0.084
allowed · 195 plays
51.7%#16
319 plays
Success Rate
#7145.4%
allowed · 383 plays
52.4%#18
Pass Success Rate
#10746.2%
allowed
51.1%#35
Rush Success Rate
#2742.5%
allowed
54.4%#30
Available Yards %
#5140.9%
allowed
69.6#55
Net Field Position
#12168.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.092#33
253 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#43-0.061
allowed
6.1#16
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#557.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
BYU Defense vs UCF OffenseBYU · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.31#14
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#740.00
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.148#17
allowed · 308 plays
EPA/Play
#101-0.058
331 plays
-0.211#18
allowed · 169 plays
EPA/Pass
#80-0.028
160 plays
-0.071#44
allowed · 139 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#117-0.086
171 plays
41.2%#21
allowed · 308 plays
Success Rate
#9445.3%
331 plays
41.3%#51
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#10341.9%
43.7%#34
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#6948.5%
35.5%#24
allowed
Available Yards %
#9944.3%
72.7#39
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2067.6
-0.131#19
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#85-0.016
249 plays
7.4#48
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1157.6
2026 · Situational EPABYU · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.144
330 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.089
328 plays
-0.158
315 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.056
394 plays
0.068
74 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.240
61 plays
0.106
49 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.096
60 plays
0.470
69 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.064
73 plays
-0.052
84 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.013
91 plays