Fourth Down Data
California3-4 · ACC@#23SMU5-1 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Gerald J. Ford Stadium· SMU -19 · O/U 55.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,472 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
SMU -19 · O/U 55.5
opened SMU -19.5, now SMU -19 · total opened 53.5, now 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
California as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-13 ATS (24 games) · 11-13 O/U (24 games)
SMU as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-3-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-14-1 ATS (33 games) · 15-18 O/U (33 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSMU · 8 of 9
378.4
Yards / game
466.7
1.80
Points / drive
2.89
2.7
TDs / game
4.3
37.5
3rd-down %
48.1
56.5
RZ TD %
66.7
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.5
2.0
Sacks / game
3.0
4.6
TFL / game
7.8
10.7
Havoc / game
15.2
61.2 / 38.8
Pass / Rush split
50.4 / 49.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When California has the ball
California's early-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. SMU's early-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
California's passing-down offense ranks 111th of 138. SMU's passing-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
California's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. SMU's third-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
California's red-zone offense ranks 83rd of 138. SMU's red-zone defense ranks 111th of 138.
When SMU has the ball
SMU's early-down offense ranks 67th of 138. California's early-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
SMU's passing-down offense ranks 45th of 138. California's passing-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
SMU's third-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. California's third-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
SMU's red-zone offense ranks 60th of 138. California's red-zone defense ranks 19th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.101 last 3 vs -0.042 season (-0.059)
▼Defense form0.284 last 3 vs 0.031 season (+0.253)
▼Offense form0.040 last 3 vs 0.153 season (-0.113)
Defense formabout the same(-0.090 last 3 vs -0.071 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele — 1290 yd, 9 TD
RushingAdam Mohammed — 336 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingChase Hendricks — 415 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKevin Jennings — 1839 yd, 16 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael — 537 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight — 418 yd, 2 TD