Fourth Down Data
Oklahoma3-3 · SEC@Mississippi State4-2 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field· Oklahoma -4.5 · O/U 45
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 508 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Oklahoma -4.5 · O/U 45
opened Oklahoma -3, now Oklahoma -4.5 · total opened 46, now 45
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oklahoma as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 10-13-1 ATS (24 games) · 10-14 O/U (24 games)
Mississippi State as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 7-14-1 ATS (22 games) · 14-8 O/U (22 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMississippi State · 6 of 9
311.5
Yards / game
454.3
1.25
Points / drive
2.93
2.0
TDs / game
4.2
33.7
3rd-down %
47.4
46.2
RZ TD %
63.6
-1.3
Turnover margin
-0.5
3.0
Sacks / game
2.5
6.3
TFL / game
5.3
13.8
Havoc / game
13.8
47.6 / 52.4
Pass / Rush split
46.0 / 54.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oklahoma has the ball
Oklahoma's early-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Mississippi State's early-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Oklahoma's passing-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Mississippi State's passing-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Oklahoma's third-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Mississippi State's third-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Oklahoma's red-zone offense ranks 130th of 138. Mississippi State's red-zone defense ranks 78th of 138.
When Mississippi State has the ball
Mississippi State's early-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Oklahoma's early-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Mississippi State's passing-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Oklahoma's passing-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Mississippi State's third-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Oklahoma's third-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Mississippi State's red-zone offense ranks 106th of 138. Oklahoma's red-zone defense ranks 26th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.381 last 3 vs -0.213 season (-0.168)
Defense formabout the same(-0.094 last 3 vs -0.135 season)
▼Offense form-0.196 last 3 vs 0.036 season (-0.232)
▼Defense form0.189 last 3 vs 0.010 season (+0.179)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJohn Mateer — 1308 yd, 9 TD
RushingLloyd Avant — 267 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingIsaiah Sategna III — 414 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKamario Taylor — 1450 yd, 17 TD
RushingFluff Bothwell — 403 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingAnthony Evans III — 614 yd, 5 TD