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OU
Oklahoma
SoonersRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.012
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.012
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.139
Defensive EPA/play
-0.019
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.3%
Def Success Rate
33.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
16.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
17.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.158
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.00
Peer Context
Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense55th
Opp-adjusted defense40th
Offensive EPA/play63th
Defensive EPA/play39th
Offensive success rate50th
Explosiveness12th
Defensive havoc91th
Points per drive84th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Penn State2026OA +0.030 / +0.032similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, turnover rate4042Miami (OH)2021OA -0.032 / +0.021similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, havoc rate3333Bowling Green2024OA +0.012 / +0.012similar: takeaway rate, passing offense, offensive EPA3174Michigan2019OA +0.070 / +0.125similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, pass defense3155Fresno State2022OA +0.017 / +0.055similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, TD drive rate309
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UTEP | 51-0 | W | -41.5 | W | 51.5 | U |
| 2 | @ Michigan | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs New Mexico | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Georgia | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs Kentucky | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | @ Mississippi State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs South Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Ole Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Texas A&M | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Missouri | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 32.8%Rush 67.2%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
33.3%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
5.00
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%