Fourth Down Data
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FLA

Florida

GatorsRun-Heavy
Southeastern Conference1-0#27 (+6.10)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

80· BOverall
Offense
95· ARating
95· APer play
89· BConsistency
98· A+Big plays
Defense
36· DRating
22· DPer play
27· DConsistency
Situational
92· A-Red-zone O
22· DRed-zone D
98· A+3rd down O
5· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.067
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.051
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.435
Defensive EPA/play
+0.105
lower = better
Off Success Rate
62.7%
Def Success Rate
50.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
37.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.330
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.63

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.02
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
95th
Opp-adjusted defense
16th
Offensive EPA/play
96th
Defensive EPA/play
22th
Offensive success rate
96th
Explosiveness
99th
Defensive havoc
65th
Points per drive
93th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Arizona2017OA +0.178 / -0.100similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, TD drive rate4992SMU2017OA +0.140 / -0.078similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA4193Charlotte2019OA +0.119 / -0.146similar: pass defense, run defense, offensive EPA3864Kansas2023OA +0.208 / -0.066similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, havoc rate3785Washington State2024OA +0.048 / -0.028similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA372

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Florida Atlantic66-21W-25.5W59.5O
2vs Campbell------
3@ Auburn------
4vs Ole Miss------
5@ Missouri------
6vs South Carolina------
7@ Texas------
9@ Georgia------
10vs Oklahoma------
11@ Kentucky------
12vs Vanderbilt------
13@ Florida State------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off81thRush Off99thRed Zone Off93th3rd Down Off99thPass Def4thRush Def45thRed Zone Def22th3rd Down Def5th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.451100th+0.15212th
Red Zone+0.64393th+0.49622th
Third Down+1.23099th+0.9035th
No Garbage Time+0.43598th+0.10521th
First Half+0.39996th+0.10523th
Second Half+0.51196th+0.23217th
Early Downs+0.31392th-0.10754th
Passing Downs+0.42681th+0.7114th
Standard Downs+0.45999th-0.07545th
Goal to Go+0.50868th-0.36976th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 38.8%Rush 61.2%
Havoc/Game
21.0
Havoc Rate
23.3%
TO Margin
+2.0
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
624.0
Pts/Drive
5.63
3rd Down%
55.6%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFloridaOpponents
Scoring
Points6621
Points / Game66.021.0
First Downs
Total3025
Rushing117
Passing1416
Penalty52
Rushing
Attempts4137
Yards281120
Yards / Carry6.93.2
Yards / Game281.0120.0
Touchdowns52
Passing
Attempts2653
Completions2034
Completion %76.9%64.2%
Yards343276
Yards / Attempt13.25.2
Touchdowns41
Interceptions12
Passer Rating230.82106.57
Total Offense
Plays6790
Yards624396
Yards / Play9.34.4
Yards / Game624.0396.0
Punt Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards021
Average—21.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts03
Yards0115
Average—38.3
Interception Returns
Returns21
Yards2-3
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles02
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties39
Yards3288
Yards / Game32.088.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:3628:24
Third Downs
Attempts922
Conversions511
Conversion %55.6%50.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts27
Conversions24
Conversion %100.0%57.1%
Red Zone
Trips84
Scores (TD + FG)83
Score %100.0%75.0%
Touchdowns83
TD %100.0%75.0%
Field Goals
Attempts10
Made10
Pct100.0%—
PAT Kicking
Attempts93
Made93
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →