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UNM
New Mexico
LobosRun-HeavyMountain West Conference1-0#21 (+6.96)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.017
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.073
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.146
Defensive EPA/play
-0.550
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.1%
Def Success Rate
31.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
14.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
8.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.696
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.86
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.04
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.05
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.07
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.09
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where New Mexico ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense61th
Opp-adjusted defense92th
Offensive EPA/play66th
Defensive EPA/play91th
Offensive success rate76th
Explosiveness6th
Defensive havoc74th
Points per drive65th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Auburn2019OA -0.022 / +0.217similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, havoc rate3862Clemson2022OA +0.026 / +0.116similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3763Iowa2018OA +0.039 / +0.179similar: pass defense, havoc rate, TD drive rate3734Syracuse2018OA +0.008 / +0.062similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, offensive success rate3695Houston2025OA +0.036 / +0.057similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, defensive EPA369
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Michigan | 38-7 | W | -10.5 | W | 47.5 | U |
| 2 | vs Mercyhurst | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Oklahoma | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ New Mexico State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs UTEP | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Hawai'i | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs North Dakota State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ San José State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Nevada | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs UNLV | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Wyoming | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Air Force | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 36.2%Rush 63.8%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
26.0%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
3.86
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
14.3%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — New Mexico vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | New Mexico | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 38 | 7 |
| Points / Game | 38.0 | 7.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 28 | 9 |
| Rushing | 12 | 7 |
| Passing | 9 | 2 |
| Penalty | 7 | 0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 44 | 32 |
| Yards | 205 | 119 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Yards / Game | 205.0 | 119.0 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 1 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 16 |
| Completions | 17 | 7 |
| Completion % | 68.0% | 43.8% |
| Yards | 159 | 30 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.4 | 1.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Passer Rating | 134.62 | 47.00 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 69 | 48 |
| Yards | 364 | 149 |
| Yards / Play | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| Yards / Game | 364.0 | 149.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 2 | 0 |
| Yards | 47 | 0 |
| Average | 23.5 | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Average | — | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 2 | 6 |
| Yards | 81 | 306 |
| Average | 40.5 | 51.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Lost | 0 | 1 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 4 | 9 |
| Yards | 20 | 84 |
| Yards / Game | 20.0 | 84.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 37:29 | 22:31 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 11 |
| Conversions | 7 | 2 |
| Conversion % | 53.8% | 18.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 3 |
| Conversions | 1 | 2 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 4 | 0 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 4 | 0 |
| Score % | 100.0% | — |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 0 |
| TD % | 100.0% | — |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 0 |
| Made | 3 | 0 |
| Pct | 75.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 1 |
| Made | 3 | 1 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.