Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.069
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.467
Defensive EPA/play
-0.331
lower = better
Off Success Rate
66.7%
Def Success Rate
31.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.798
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.60

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
96th
Opp-adjusted defense
76th
Offensive EPA/play
98th
Defensive EPA/play
81th
Offensive success rate
100th
Explosiveness
46th
Defensive havoc
37th
Points per drive
91th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Kansas State2023OA +0.110 / +0.053similar: defensive success rate, rushing offense, TD drive rate3752Georgia2023OA +0.182 / +0.099similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, offensive success rate3633Michigan2021OA +0.126 / +0.077similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3594Alabama2022OA +0.176 / +0.135similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, run defense3545Ohio State2026OA +0.057 / +0.028similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, offensive EPA353

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Kent State57-0W-35.5W53.5O
2vs Towson------
3vs Mississippi State------
4@ Alabama------
5vs Kentucky------
6@ Florida------
8vs Tennessee------
9@ Oklahoma------
10vs Texas A&M------
11@ Arkansas------
12vs Georgia------
13@ Clemson------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off88thRush Off95thRed Zone Off94th3rd Down Off100thPass Def86thRush Def65thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def52th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.41099th-0.30085th
Red Zone+0.67394th-0th
Third Down+1.406100th-0.12552th
No Garbage Time+0.46799th-0.27677th
First Half+0.46799th-0.27674th
Second Half+0.35689th-0.34788th
Early Downs+0.36696th-0.22973th
Passing Downs+0.52988th-0.41886th
Standard Downs+0.37995th-0.20065th
Goal to Go+0.79885th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.8%Rush 54.2%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
16.3%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
5.60
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →