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UK
Kentucky
WildcatsBalancedSoutheastern Conference1-0#79 (-0.27)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
43· COverall
Offense
55· CRating
77· BPer play
93· AConsistency
50· CBig plays
Defense
30· DRating
35· DPer play
44· CConsistency
Situational
69· CRed-zone O
8· FRed-zone D
51· C3rd down O
21· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.020
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.080
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.234
Defensive EPA/play
+0.016
lower = better
Off Success Rate
62.3%
Def Success Rate
47.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.218
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.38
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.04
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.05
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.10
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.22
own return game
Return Defense
+0.30
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Kentucky ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense63th
Opp-adjusted defense5th
Offensive EPA/play78th
Defensive EPA/play35th
Offensive success rate96th
Explosiveness50th
Defensive havoc39th
Points per drive71th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1North Carolina2020OA +0.097 / -0.025similar: rushing offense, offensive success rate, run defense3562Oklahoma2017OA +0.313 / -0.052similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, takeaway rate3533Michigan2020OA +0.019 / -0.036similar: pass defense, run defense, passing offense3514Texas2019OA +0.093 / +0.011similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, turnover rate3465Louisville2021OA +0.077 / +0.021similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, rushing offense345
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | 45-13 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | vs Alabama | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Texas A&M | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs South Alabama | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ South Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs LSU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Oklahoma | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Vanderbilt | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Tennessee | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Missouri | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Louisville | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-0
-
O/U Record
0-0
-
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.227 | 84th | +0.109 | 18th |
| Red Zone | +0.298 | 69th | +0.864 | 8th |
| Third Down | +0.107 | 51th | +0.378 | 21th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.234 | 78th | +0.016 | 36th |
| First Half | +0.291 | 85th | +0.070 | 27th |
| Second Half | +0.165 | 68th | +0.160 | 25th |
| Early Downs | +0.220 | 84th | -0.100 | 51th |
| Passing Downs | +0.611 | 93th | +0.090 | 33th |
| Standard Downs | +0.142 | 75th | +0.124 | 16th |
| Goal to Go | +0.540 | 70th | +3.413 | 0th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 44.3%Rush 55.7%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
16.7%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
10.0
Yards/Game
506.0
Pts/Drive
4.38
3rd Down%
37.5%
3&Out%
12.5%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Kentucky vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Kentucky | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 45 | 13 |
| Points / Game | 45.0 | 13.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 24 | 20 |
| Rushing | 10 | 6 |
| Passing | 13 | 13 |
| Penalty | 1 | 1 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 34 | 28 |
| Yards | 205 | 59 |
| Yards / Carry | 6.0 | 2.1 |
| Yards / Game | 205.0 | 59.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 38 |
| Completions | 18 | 24 |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 63.2% |
| Yards | 301 | 246 |
| Yards / Attempt | 11.1 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 209.20 | 126.22 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 61 | 66 |
| Yards | 506 | 305 |
| Yards / Play | 8.3 | 4.6 |
| Yards / Game | 506.0 | 305.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 4 | 1 |
| Yards | 29 | 1 |
| Average | 7.3 | 1.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 0 |
| Yards | 19 | 0 |
| Average | 19.0 | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 2 | 5 |
| Yards | 84 | 224 |
| Average | 42.0 | 44.8 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 1 | 2 |
| Lost | 0 | 1 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 6 | 4 |
| Yards | 70 | 28 |
| Yards / Game | 70.0 | 28.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:52 | 30:08 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 15 |
| Conversions | 3 | 8 |
| Conversion % | 37.5% | 53.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 2 |
| Conversions | 1 | 0 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 5 | 2 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 5 | 2 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 2 |
| TD % | 80.0% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 6 | 2 |
| Made | 6 | 1 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.