Fourth Down Data
North Texas4-2 · American Athletic@Navy2-4 · American Athletic
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Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium· North Texas -2.5 · O/U 63.5
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 1,217 mi / 0 miForecast: 58°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
North Texas -2.5 · O/U 63.5
opened North Texas -2, now North Texas -2.5 · total opened 60.5, now 63.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
North Texas as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 6-1 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 8-9 ATS (17 games) · 12-5 O/U (17 games)
Navy as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 13-11 ATS (24 games) · 13-10-1 O/U (24 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorth Texas · 9 of 9
533.8
Yards / game
414.0
3.62
Points / drive
2.48
5.2
TDs / game
3.8
48.8
3rd-down %
43.5
72.7
RZ TD %
72.2
0.3
Turnover margin
-1.0
2.5
Sacks / game
2.3
6.2
TFL / game
6.0
13.5
Havoc / game
10.7
50.1 / 49.9
Pass / Rush split
19.4 / 80.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When North Texas has the ball
North Texas's early-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Navy's early-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
North Texas's passing-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Navy's passing-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
North Texas's third-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Navy's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
North Texas's red-zone offense ranks 10th of 138. Navy's red-zone defense ranks 96th of 138.
When Navy has the ball
Navy's early-down offense ranks 55th of 138. North Texas's early-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Navy's passing-down offense ranks 27th of 138. North Texas's passing-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Navy's third-down offense ranks 12th of 138. North Texas's third-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Navy's red-zone offense ranks 28th of 138. North Texas's red-zone defense ranks 87th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.407 last 3 vs 0.296 season (+0.111)
▲Defense form0.025 last 3 vs 0.079 season (-0.054)
Offense formabout the same(0.153 last 3 vs 0.121 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.074 last 3 vs 0.118 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTayven Jackson — 1868 yd, 15 TD
RushingJahiem White — 687 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingJustin Stevenson — 453 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJackson Gutierrez — 559 yd, 6 TD
RushingJackson Gutierrez — 644 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingJordan Collins — 189 yd, 3 TD