Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· Huskie Stadium· Hawai'i -4 · O/U 47.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 4,189 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Hawai'i -4 · O/U 47.5
total opened 46, now 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Hawai'i as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 1-6 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Northern Illinois as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 4-11 ATS (15 games) · 8-7 O/U (15 games)
Away
2026 · TraditionalHawai'i · 7 of 9
345.6
Yards / game
307.7
1.41
Points / drive
1.28
1.6
TDs / game
1.5
36.3
3rd-down %
30.5
33.3
RZ TD %
40.0
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.2
1.7
Sacks / game
1.3
4.4
TFL / game
4.0
10.1
Havoc / game
7.3
63.9 / 36.1
Pass / Rush split
53.8 / 46.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Hawai'i has the ball
Hawai'i's early-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Northern Illinois's early-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
Hawai'i's passing-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Northern Illinois's passing-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Hawai'i's third-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Northern Illinois's third-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
Hawai'i's red-zone offense ranks 136th of 138. Northern Illinois's red-zone defense ranks 101st of 138.
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Northern Illinois's early-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Hawai'i's early-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Northern Illinois's passing-down offense ranks 108th of 138. Hawai'i's passing-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
Northern Illinois's third-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Hawai'i's third-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Northern Illinois's red-zone offense ranks 135th of 138. Hawai'i's red-zone defense ranks 123rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.157 last 3 vs -0.118 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.046 last 3 vs 0.051 season)
▲Offense form0.008 last 3 vs -0.152 season (+0.160)
Defense formabout the same(0.179 last 3 vs 0.140 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMicah Alejado — 1863 yd, 6 TD
RushingDeVon Rice — 314 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKainoa Carvalho — 384 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTaron Dickens — 1193 yd, 4 TD
RushingTelly Johnson Jr. — 439 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingDeAree Rogers — 422 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Hawai'i offense
119thof 138-0.097367 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
121stof 1380.076Hawai'i defense · allowed
109thof 1380.052341 plays
vs
Northern Illinois offense
94thof 138-0.037224 plays
Passing downs
Hawai'i offense
136thof 138-0.252189 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
118thof 1380.198113 plays
Hawai'i defense · allowed
98thof 1380.097135 plays
vs
Northern Illinois offense
108thof 138-0.102137 plays
Third down
Hawai'i offense
116thof 138-0.172113 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
134thof 1380.38275 plays
Hawai'i defense · allowed
70thof 1380.01891 plays
vs
Northern Illinois offense
130thof 138-0.27082 plays
Red zone
Hawai'i offense
136thof 138-0.60681 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
101stof 1380.07867 plays
Hawai'i defense · allowed
123rdof 1380.25862 plays
vs
Northern Illinois offense
135thof 138-0.60241 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Hawai'i offense
112thof 13841.8%vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
133rdof 13856.5%Hawai'i defense · allowed
83rdof 13845.0%vs
Northern Illinois offense
119thof 13839.3%Away
Hawai'i Offense vs Northern Illinois DefenseHawai'i · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.32#125
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#135-0.39
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.117#124
493 plays
EPA/Play
#1270.132
allowed · 330 plays
-0.048#91
315 plays
EPA/Pass
#1050.100
allowed · 116 plays
-0.241#135
178 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1290.149
allowed · 214 plays
42.8%#123
493 plays
Success Rate
#13753.0%
allowed · 330 plays
42.9%#91
Pass Success Rate
#12750.0%
allowed
42.7%#124
Rush Success Rate
#12952.0%
allowed
41.8%#112
Available Yards %
#13356.5%
allowed
73.5#129
Net Field Position
#10669.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.097#119
367 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1210.076
allowed
7.3#93
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1375.6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Hawai'i Defense vs Northern Illinois OffenseHawai'i · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.00#73
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#131-0.36
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.049#102
allowed · 442 plays
EPA/Play
#106-0.071
299 plays
-0.018#73
allowed · 180 plays
EPA/Pass
#119-0.174
163 plays
0.096#114
allowed · 262 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#590.053
136 plays
48.4%#109
allowed · 442 plays
Success Rate
#11643.5%
299 plays
45.0%#96
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#12638.0%
50.8%#120
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4750.0%
45.0%#83
allowed
Available Yards %
#11939.3%
74.0#27
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#12573.3
0.052#109
allowed · 341 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#94-0.037
224 plays
7.1#72
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1127.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.117
493 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.063
290 plays
0.049
442 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.176
310 plays
-0.606
81 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.602
41 plays · small sample
0.258
62 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.079
67 plays
-0.172
113 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.270
82 plays
0.018
91 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.382
75 plays