Fourth Down Data
#16USC6-1 · Big Ten@Wisconsin4-2 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET· Camp Randall Stadium· USC -3 · O/U 50.5
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 1,671 mi / 0 miForecast: 62°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
USC -3 · O/U 50.5
total opened 49.5, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
USC as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-15 ATS (23 games) · 12-10-1 O/U (23 games)
Wisconsin as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-3-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 1-7 O/U (8 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalUSC · 7 of 9
462.4
Yards / game
351.8
3.44
Points / drive
2.43
4.3
TDs / game
2.8
51.2
3rd-down %
42.3
67.6
RZ TD %
52.9
0.0
Turnover margin
0.0
2.1
Sacks / game
1.3
4.3
TFL / game
4.2
9.6
Havoc / game
12.0
49.3 / 50.7
Pass / Rush split
44.9 / 55.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When USC has the ball
USC's early-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Wisconsin's early-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
USC's passing-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Wisconsin's passing-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
USC's third-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Wisconsin's third-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
USC's red-zone offense ranks 46th of 138. Wisconsin's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
When Wisconsin has the ball
Wisconsin's early-down offense ranks 111th of 138. USC's early-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
Wisconsin's passing-down offense ranks 117th of 138. USC's passing-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
Wisconsin's third-down offense ranks 69th of 138. USC's third-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Wisconsin's red-zone offense ranks 56th of 138. USC's red-zone defense ranks 66th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.185 last 3 vs 0.235 season (-0.051)
▼Defense form0.112 last 3 vs -0.061 season (+0.174)
▼Offense form-0.089 last 3 vs -0.019 season (-0.070)
▲Defense form-0.219 last 3 vs -0.141 season (-0.078)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Maiava — 2045 yd, 18 TD
RushingKing Miller — 595 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingKayden Dixon-Wyatt — 400 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingColton Joseph — 1198 yd, 10 TD
RushingColton Joseph — 333 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingTyrell Henry — 343 yd, 1 TD