Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· Williams-Brice Stadium· South Carolina -2.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 214 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 12 mph · Clear
Market context
South Carolina -2.5 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Tennessee as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 1-6 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 3-9 ATS (12 games) · 6-5 O/U (11 games)
South Carolina as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 14-12 ATS (26 games) · 14-11 O/U (25 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTennessee · 5 of 9
405.1
Yards / game
474.7
2.30
Points / drive
2.73
3.9
TDs / game
4.3
36.6
3rd-down %
47.7
69.6
RZ TD %
66.7
0.4
Turnover margin
-0.5
4.3
Sacks / game
2.7
8.3
TFL / game
5.7
18.1
Havoc / game
12.2
37.9 / 62.1
Pass / Rush split
46.7 / 53.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Tennessee has the ball
Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 76th of 138. South Carolina's early-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 134th of 138. South Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 111th of 138. South Carolina's third-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 31st of 138. South Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 52nd of 138.
When South Carolina has the ball
South Carolina's early-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
South Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
South Carolina's third-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
South Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 21st of 138. Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 16th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.105 last 3 vs 0.002 season (-0.107)
Defense formabout the same(-0.329 last 3 vs -0.290 season)
▼Offense form-0.039 last 3 vs 0.049 season (-0.088)
▼Defense form0.119 last 3 vs 0.020 season (+0.099)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingFaizon Brandon — 697 yd, 7 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop — 837 yd, 10 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews — 481 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLaNorris Sellers — 1338 yd, 12 TD
RushingMatt Fuller — 485 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingNyck Harbor — 278 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Tennessee offense
76thof 1380.010336 plays
vs
South Carolina defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.028Tennessee defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.244vs
South Carolina offense
116thof 138-0.092258 plays
Passing downs
Tennessee offense
134thof 138-0.239144 plays
vs
South Carolina defense · allowed
108thof 1380.132130 plays
Tennessee defense · allowed
10thof 138-0.242163 plays
vs
South Carolina offense
26thof 1380.231140 plays
Third down
Tennessee offense
111thof 138-0.14895 plays
vs
South Carolina defense · allowed
87thof 1380.07177 plays
Tennessee defense · allowed
36thof 138-0.10392 plays
vs
South Carolina offense
4thof 1380.50184 plays
Red zone
Tennessee offense
31stof 1380.14266 plays
vs
South Carolina defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.12436 plays · small sample
Tennessee defense · allowed
16thof 138-0.27146 plays · small sample
vs
South Carolina offense
21stof 1380.20965 plays
Field advancement
Tennessee offense
76thof 13846.8%vs
South Carolina defense · allowed
39thof 13837.6%Tennessee defense · allowed
4thof 13830.2%vs
South Carolina offense
34thof 13854.1%Away
Home
Tennessee Offense vs South Carolina DefenseTennessee · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#71
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#79-0.03
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.019#86
435 plays
EPA/Play
#930.034
allowed · 304 plays
-0.287#134
166 plays
EPA/Pass
#1150.150
allowed · 156 plays
0.147#22
269 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#39-0.088
allowed · 148 plays
46.7%#78
435 plays
Success Rate
#6445.1%
allowed · 304 plays
36.7%#129
Pass Success Rate
#9044.6%
allowed
52.8%#18
Rush Success Rate
#2842.9%
allowed
46.8%#76
Available Yards %
#3937.6%
allowed
69.5#54
Net Field Position
#7771.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.010#76
336 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#930.028
allowed
7.3#96
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#507.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Tennessee Defense vs South Carolina OffenseTennessee · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.41#3
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#550.06
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.268#3
allowed · 369 plays
EPA/Play
#680.033
337 plays
-0.316#4
allowed · 175 plays
EPA/Pass
#94-0.054
169 plays
-0.225#8
allowed · 194 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#300.120
168 plays
39.0%#8
allowed · 369 plays
Success Rate
#4848.4%
337 plays
38.7%#24
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8443.8%
39.6%#11
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1653.0%
30.2%#4
allowed
Available Yards %
#3454.1%
71.6#62
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9371.6
-0.244#3
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#116-0.092
258 plays
8.2#10
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#757.0
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.012
445 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.059
363 plays
-0.293
361 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.014
322 plays
0.142
66 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.209
65 plays
-0.271
46 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.124
36 plays · small sample
-0.148
95 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.501
84 plays
-0.103
92 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.071
77 plays