Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference1-0#11 (+10.04)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

92· A-Overall
Offense
90· A-Rating
97· A+Per play
98· A+Consistency
46· CBig plays
Defense
86· BRating
80· BPer play
84· BConsistency
Situational
93· ARed-zone O
99· A+3rd down O
51· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.069
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.467
Defensive EPA/play
-0.331
lower = better
Off Success Rate
66.7%
Def Success Rate
31.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.798
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.60

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.25
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#11
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
model 15 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
96th
Opp-adjusted defense
76th
Offensive EPA/play
98th
Defensive EPA/play
81th
Offensive success rate
100th
Explosiveness
46th
Defensive havoc
37th
Points per drive
91th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Kansas State2023OA +0.110 / +0.053similar: defensive success rate, rushing offense, TD drive rate3752Georgia2023OA +0.182 / +0.099similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, offensive success rate3633Michigan2021OA +0.126 / +0.077similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3594Alabama2022OA +0.176 / +0.135similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, run defense3545Ohio State2026OA +0.057 / +0.028similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, offensive EPA353

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Kent State57-0W-35.5W53.5O
2vs Towson------
3vs Mississippi State------
4@ Alabama------
5vs Kentucky------
6@ Florida------
8vs Tennessee------
9@ Oklahoma------
10vs Texas A&M------
11@ Arkansas------
12vs Georgia------
13@ Clemson------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off88thRush Off95thRed Zone Off94th3rd Down Off100thPass Def86thRush Def65thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def52th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.41099th-0.30085th
Red Zone+0.67394th-0th
Third Down+1.406100th-0.12552th
No Garbage Time+0.46799th-0.27677th
First Half+0.46799th-0.27674th
Second Half+0.35689th-0.34788th
Early Downs+0.36696th-0.22973th
Passing Downs+0.52988th-0.41886th
Standard Downs+0.37995th-0.20065th
Goal to Go+0.79885th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.8%Rush 54.2%
Havoc/Game
8.0
Havoc Rate
16.3%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
8.0
Yards/Game
645.0
Pts/Drive
5.60
3rd Down%
87.5%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points570
Points / Game57.00.0
First Downs
Total3510
Rushing144
Passing205
Penalty11
Rushing
Attempts3925
Yards278100
Yards / Carry7.14.0
Yards / Game278.0100.0
Touchdowns40
Passing
Attempts3323
Completions2714
Completion %81.8%60.9%
Yards36779
Yards / Attempt11.13.4
Touchdowns40
Interceptions01
Passer Rating215.2481.03
Total Offense
Plays7248
Yards645179
Yards / Play9.03.7
Yards / Game645.0179.0
Punt Returns
Returns30
Yards300
Average10.0—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards014
Average—14.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts18
Yards37370
Average37.046.3
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles20
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties35
Yards2535
Yards / Game25.035.0
Time of Possession
Per Game34:4725:13
Third Downs
Attempts814
Conversions75
Conversion %87.5%35.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts00
Conversions00
Conversion %——
Red Zone
Trips50
Scores (TD + FG)50
Score %100.0%—
Touchdowns50
TD %100.0%—
Field Goals
Attempts00
Made00
Pct——
PAT Kicking
Attempts70
Made70
Pct100.0%—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →