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ARK
Arkansas
RazorbacksRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference1-0#125 (-9.13)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
9· FOverall
Offense
3· FRating
22· DPer play
55· CConsistency
23· DBig plays
Defense
27· DRating
77· BPer play
79· BConsistency
Situational
46· CRed-zone O
59· CRed-zone D
65· C3rd down O
86· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.082
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.014
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.113
Defensive EPA/play
-0.293
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.0%
Def Success Rate
31.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.180
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.38
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.05
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.16
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.12
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Arkansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense5th
Opp-adjusted defense60th
Offensive EPA/play23th
Defensive EPA/play78th
Offensive success rate55th
Explosiveness23th
Defensive havoc73th
Points per drive44th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Eastern Michigan2017OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3632Penn State2020OA -0.009 / +0.011similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, havoc rate3253Toledo2022OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, TD drive rate3244Marshall2017OA -0.030 / +0.016similar: turnover rate, run defense, havoc rate3225Marshall2023OA -0.105 / +0.027similar: turnover rate, defensive EPA, run defense320
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Alabama | 31-14 | W | -40.5 | L | 63 | U |
| 2 | @ Utah | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Georgia | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Tulsa | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Texas A&M | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Tennessee | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Vanderbilt | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs Missouri | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Auburn | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs South Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs LSU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.113 | 23th | -0.293 | 84th |
| Red Zone | +0.041 | 47th | -0.248 | 59th |
| Third Down | +0.305 | 66th | -0.712 | 87th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.113 | 23th | -0.497 | 92th |
| First Half | -0.295 | 9th | -0.828 | 99th |
| Second Half | +0.096 | 56th | +0.349 | 12th |
| Early Downs | -0.130 | 23th | -0.225 | 72th |
| Passing Downs | -0.057 | 39th | -0.393 | 84th |
| Standard Downs | -0.140 | 22th | -0.217 | 68th |
| Goal to Go | +0.326 | 49th | +0.701 | 29th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 41.7%Rush 58.3%
Havoc/Game
12.0
Havoc Rate
25.5%
TO Margin
-2.0
Explosive/G
16.0
Yards/Game
415.0
Pts/Drive
2.38
3rd Down%
58.8%
3&Out%
7.7%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Arkansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Arkansas | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 31 | 14 |
| Points / Game | 31.0 | 14.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 29 | 7 |
| Rushing | 12 | 1 |
| Passing | 14 | 3 |
| Penalty | 3 | 3 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 49 | 20 |
| Yards | 148 | 40 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Yards / Game | 148.0 | 40.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 35 | 24 |
| Completions | 24 | 12 |
| Completion % | 68.6% | 50.0% |
| Yards | 267 | 113 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.6 | 4.7 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 155.22 | 89.55 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 84 | 44 |
| Yards | 415 | 153 |
| Yards / Play | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Yards / Game | 415.0 | 153.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 2 | 1 |
| Yards | 28 | 3 |
| Average | 14.0 | 3.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Average | — | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 3 | 9 |
| Yards | 144 | 374 |
| Average | 48.0 | 41.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 1 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 2 | 1 |
| Lost | 2 | 1 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 8 | 9 |
| Yards | 74 | 79 |
| Yards / Game | 74.0 | 79.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 41:25 | 18:35 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 10 |
| Conversions | 10 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 58.8% | 10.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 0 |
| Conversions | 1 | 0 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | — |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 6 | 3 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 5 | 2 |
| Score % | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 2 |
| TD % | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 2 |
| Made | 4 | 2 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.