Fourth Down Data
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UGA

Georgia

BulldogsBalanced
Southeastern Conference13-1#2 (+14.99)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

98· A+Overall
Offense
98· A+Rating
97· A+Per play
96· AConsistency
96· ABig plays
Defense
91· A-Rating
86· BPer play
87· BConsistency
Situational
75· BRed-zone O
42· CRed-zone D
81· B3rd down O
95· A3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.182
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.099
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.230
Defensive EPA/play
-0.080
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.9%
Def Success Rate
42.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
28.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.310
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.043
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.70

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.71
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.91
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.63
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.10
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#2
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#4
model 2 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#1
market 1 higher
Recruiting Rank
#2
model & recruiting agree
76 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
97th
Opp-adjusted defense
89th
Offensive EPA/play
98th
Defensive EPA/play
87th
Offensive success rate
99th
Explosiveness
97th
Defensive havoc
69th
Points per drive
99th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1LSU2019OA +0.304 / +0.088similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate4222Alabama2022OA +0.176 / +0.135similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, pass defense4073Oregon2024OA +0.060 / +0.016similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, turnover rate3864South Carolina2026OA +0.069 / +0.042similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, takeaway rate3625Michigan2022OA +0.201 / +0.122similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, defensive EPA343

2023 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs UT Martin48-7W-50.3L55.5U
2vs Ball State45-3W-42.0P53U
3vs South Carolina24-14W-27.5L54.5U
4vs UAB49-21W-42.5L54.5O
5@ Auburn27-20W-14.5L45.5O
6vs Kentucky51-13W-14.5W47.75O
7@ Vanderbilt37-20W-31.5L56O
9@ Florida43-20W-14.5W47O
10vs Missouri30-21W-15.5L54.5U
11vs Ole Miss52-17W-10.8W59O
12@ Tennessee38-10W-10.5W58.75U
13@ Georgia Tech31-23W-24.0L60U
14@ Alabama24-27L-5.5L55.5U
18@ Florida State63-3W-14.0W44.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-8-1
38.5%
O/U Record
7-7
50.0%
Straight Up
13-1
92.9%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS5-8
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
WWLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off98thRush Off97thRed Zone Off76th3rd Down Off82thPass Def83thRush Def71thRed Zone Def42th3rd Down Def96th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.21399th-0.05980th
Red Zone+0.11176th+0.02642th
Third Down+0.33982th-0.11496th
No Garbage Time+0.22398th-0.07485th
First Half+0.26497th-0.03870th
Second Half+0.15996th-0.08181th
Early Downs+0.13198th-0.05959th
Passing Downs+0.38698th-0.04183th
Standard Downs+0.14597th-0.07071th
Goal to Go+0.28790th+0.30316th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.7%Rush 52.3%
Havoc/Game
12.3
Havoc Rate
20.0%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
16.3
Yards/Game
496.5
Pts/Drive
3.70
3rd Down%
55.2%
3&Out%
10.3%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 14 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgiaOpponents
Scoring
Points562219
Points / Game40.115.6
First Downs
Total363224
Rushing14894
Passing193113
Penalty2217
Rushing
Attempts501422
Yards2,6771,591
Yards / Carry5.33.8
Yards / Game191.2113.6
Touchdowns4013
Passing
Attempts457427
Completions328234
Completion %71.8%54.8%
Yards4,2742,456
Yards / Attempt9.45.8
Touchdowns2913
Interceptions714
Passer Rating168.21106.61
Total Offense
Plays958849
Yards6,9514,047
Yards / Play7.34.8
Yards / Game496.5289.1
Punt Returns
Returns240
Yards2600
Average10.8—
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns2421
Yards610350
Average25.416.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3275
Yards1,4033,162
Average43.842.2
Interception Returns
Returns147
Yards91158
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1710
Lost73
Penalties
Penalties6270
Yards606545
Yards / Game43.338.9
Time of Possession
Per Game33:2826:32
Third Downs
Attempts165175
Conversions9145
Conversion %55.2%25.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1230
Conversions917
Conversion %75.0%56.7%
Red Zone
Trips8136
Scores (TD + FG)7433
Score %91.4%91.7%
Touchdowns5621
TD %69.1%58.3%
Field Goals
Attempts2517
Made2113
Pct84.0%76.5%
PAT Kicking
Attempts7122
Made7122
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts04
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →