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MISS
Ole Miss
RebelsBalancedSoutheastern Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.002
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.072
Defensive EPA/play
+0.062
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.4%
Def Success Rate
42.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.010
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.15
Peer Context
Where Ole Miss ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense48th
Opp-adjusted defense20th
Offensive EPA/play52th
Defensive EPA/play26th
Offensive success rate47th
Explosiveness30th
Defensive havoc50th
Points per drive56th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1West Virginia2017OA +0.130 / +0.011similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, takeaway rate3802Hawai'i2024OA -0.018 / -0.015similar: offensive success rate, turnover rate, passing offense3783West Virginia2022OA +0.016 / -0.049similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, pass defense3684Arkansas State2019OA +0.036 / -0.048similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, passing offense3675North Carolina2024OA -0.010 / -0.021similar: run defense, offensive success rate, defensive success rate365
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Louisville | 41-38 | W | -6.5 | L | 55 | O |
| 2 | vs Charlotte | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs LSU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Florida | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Vanderbilt | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs Missouri | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | @ Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs Auburn | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Georgia | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Oklahoma | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Wofford | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Mississippi State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 47.4%Rush 52.6%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
19.1%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
3.15
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
15.4%