Fourth Down Data
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WVU

West Virginia

MountaineersBalanced
Big 12 Conference5-7#100 (-4.16)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

26· DOverall
Offense
58· CRating
59· CPer play
51· CConsistency
63· CBig plays
Defense
15· DRating
15· DPer play
19· DConsistency
Situational
61· CRed-zone O
32· DRed-zone D
51· C3rd down O
19· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.016
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.049
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.024
Defensive EPA/play
+0.083
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.3%
Def Success Rate
48.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.059
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.117
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.28

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.14
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.19
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.56
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.76
own return game
Return Defense
-0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#100
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#85
market 15 higher
Recruiting Rank
#46
recruiting 54 spots higher
7 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where West Virginia ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
53th
Opp-adjusted defense
27th
Offensive EPA/play
60th
Defensive EPA/play
16th
Offensive success rate
61th
Explosiveness
64th
Defensive havoc
27th
Points per drive
55th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Toledo2019OA -0.001 / -0.123similar: havoc rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA4362Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA4163Eastern Michigan2025OA +0.012 / -0.169similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA4074Nevada2017OA +0.009 / -0.079similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, defensive EPA4055North Texas2017OA -0.005 / -0.142similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, run defense394

2022 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Pittsburgh31-38L----
2vs Kansas42-55L-12.0L57.5O
3vs Towson65-7W-28.0W55O
4@ Virginia Tech33-10W----
5@ Texas20-38L+9.5L62.5U
7vs Baylor43-40W----
8@ Texas Tech10-48L+6.5L65.5U
9vs TCU31-41L+7.5L68.5O
10@ Iowa State14-31L+7.0L50.5U
11vs Oklahoma23-20W+8.0W66U
12vs Kansas State31-48L+7.5L55O
13@ Oklahoma State24-19W+8.5W64U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS2-1
Underdog ATS4-5
Last 5 ATS
LLWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off55thRush Off82thRed Zone Off61th3rd Down Off52thPass Def42thRush Def10thRed Zone Def33th3rd Down Def19th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.06672th+0.06719th
Red Zone+0.06361th+0.07333th
Third Down+0.08052th+0.22519th
No Garbage Time+0.02761th+0.07716th
First Half+0.05367th+0.09716th
Second Half+0.08181th+0.03427th
Early Downs+0.03270th+0.03321th
Passing Downs+0.03055th+0.00442th
Standard Downs+0.08482th+0.09910th
Goal to Go+0.02259th+0.3099th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 48.9%Rush 51.1%
Havoc/Game
11.4
Havoc Rate
16.3%
TO Margin
-0.7
Explosive/G
15.4
Yards/Game
399.0
Pts/Drive
2.28
3rd Down%
41.2%
3&Out%
20.6%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 12 games — West Virginia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWest VirginiaOpponents
Scoring
Points367395
Points / Game30.632.9
First Downs
Total279259
Rushing111102
Passing131135
Penalty3722
Rushing
Attempts445434
Yards2,0581,795
Yards / Carry4.64.1
Yards / Game171.5149.6
Touchdowns2424
Passing
Attempts425386
Completions254229
Completion %59.8%59.3%
Yards2,7303,152
Yards / Attempt6.48.2
Touchdowns2022
Interceptions124
Passer Rating123.60144.65
Total Offense
Plays870820
Yards4,7884,947
Yards / Play5.56.0
Yards / Game399.0412.3
Punt Returns
Returns127
Yards7319
Average6.12.7
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2641
Yards444814
Average17.119.9
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts4945
Yards2,0841,831
Average42.540.7
Interception Returns
Returns412
Yards76221
Touchdowns23
Fumbles
Fumbles1215
Lost66
Penalties
Penalties7772
Yards631707
Yards / Game52.658.9
Time of Possession
Per Game31:1928:41
Third Downs
Attempts177162
Conversions7366
Conversion %41.2%40.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3227
Conversions2216
Conversion %68.8%59.3%
Red Zone
Trips4643
Scores (TD + FG)4236
Score %91.3%83.7%
Touchdowns2929
TD %63.0%67.4%
Field Goals
Attempts1518
Made1415
Pct93.3%83.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4247
Made3946
Pct92.9%97.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts52
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →