Fourth Down Data
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OKST

Oklahoma State

CowboysBalanced
Big 12 Conference0-1#70 (+0.87)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

49· COverall
Offense
27· DRating
17· DPer play
38· DConsistency
83· BBig plays
Defense
69· CRating
29· DPer play
48· CConsistency
Situational
10· FRed-zone O
49· CRed-zone D
40· C3rd down O
55· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.024
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.005
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.161
Defensive EPA/play
+0.042
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.7%
Def Success Rate
42.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
28.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.203
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.83

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.53
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.34
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
+0.14
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma State ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
28th
Opp-adjusted defense
55th
Offensive EPA/play
18th
Defensive EPA/play
29th
Offensive success rate
34th
Explosiveness
84th
Defensive havoc
18th
Points per drive
13th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Rutgers2026OA -0.094 / -0.063similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, passing offense3512Duke2020OA -0.072 / -0.025similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, turnover rate3463East Carolina2020OA -0.035 / +0.005similar: run defense, offensive EPA, turnover rate3444Hawai'i2024OA -0.018 / -0.015similar: run defense, pass defense, defensive EPA3415Tulsa2025OA -0.071 / -0.025similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, offensive success rate330

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Tulsa10-24L-13.5L57.5U
2vs Oregon------
3vs Murray State------
4@ West Virginia------
6vs UCF------
7@ Houston------
8vs Colorado------
9@ Iowa State------
10@ Kansas State------
11vs Texas Tech------
12@ Arizona State------
13vs Kansas------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off70thRush Off3thRed Zone Off10th3rd Down Off41thPass Def82thRush Def5thRed Zone Def50th3rd Down Def55th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.16117th+0.04231th
Red Zone-0.54310th-0.10950th
Third Down-0.02241th-0.15055th
No Garbage Time-0.16118th+0.04230th
First Half-0.16323th+0.08026th
Second Half-0.16025th+0.00239th
Early Downs-0.16518th+0.20513th
Passing Downs+0.32570th-0.36882th
Standard Downs-0.4543th+0.2815th
Goal to Go-0th+0.36652th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 57.0%Rush 43.0%
Havoc/Game
7.0
Havoc Rate
11.9%
TO Margin
-3.0
Explosive/G
24.0
Yards/Game
368.0
Pts/Drive
0.83
3rd Down%
31.3%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Oklahoma State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahoma StateOpponents
Scoring
Points1024
Points / Game10.024.0
First Downs
Total2715
Rushing105
Passing138
Penalty42
Rushing
Attempts3733
Yards127134
Yards / Carry3.44.1
Yards / Game127.0134.0
Touchdowns02
Passing
Attempts4924
Completions2917
Completion %59.2%70.8%
Yards241227
Yards / Attempt4.99.5
Touchdowns11
Interceptions21
Passer Rating99.07155.70
Total Offense
Plays8657
Yards368361
Yards / Play4.36.3
Yards / Game368.0361.0
Punt Returns
Returns31
Yards7-1
Average2.3-1.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns11
Yards2220
Average22.020.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts24
Yards88171
Average44.042.8
Interception Returns
Returns12
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles20
Lost20
Penalties
Penalties69
Yards59102
Yards / Game59.0102.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:0528:55
Third Downs
Attempts1611
Conversions51
Conversion %31.3%9.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts61
Conversions21
Conversion %33.3%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips42
Scores (TD + FG)21
Score %50.0%50.0%
Touchdowns11
TD %25.0%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts13
Made11
Pct100.0%33.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts13
Made13
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →