Fourth Down Data
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WVU

West Virginia

MountaineersRun-Heavy
Big 12 Conference1-0#98 (-3.98)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

29· DOverall
Offense
31· DRating
40· CPer play
22· DConsistency
27· DBig plays
Defense
28· DRating
25· DPer play
40· CConsistency
Situational
21· DRed-zone O
79· BRed-zone D
64· C3rd down O
88· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.010
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.044
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.021
Defensive EPA/play
+0.071
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.3%
Def Success Rate
43.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.049
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.21

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.08
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.09
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where West Virginia ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
36th
Opp-adjusted defense
18th
Offensive EPA/play
40th
Defensive EPA/play
26th
Offensive success rate
23th
Explosiveness
28th
Defensive havoc
91th
Points per drive
41th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Wake Forest2019OA -0.003 / -0.009similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, passing offense3092Tulsa2026OA -0.005 / +0.024similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, defensive success rate3003South Florida2023OA -0.009 / -0.084similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, run defense2974Texas A&M2017OA -0.004 / +0.039similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive success rate2965Troy2026OA -0.019 / -0.018similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, pass defense296

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Coastal Carolina31-24W-21.0L54.5O
2vs UT Martin------
3@ Virginia------
4vs Oklahoma State------
5@ Iowa State------
6vs Arizona------
7vs Cincinnati------
8@ TCU------
10@ Texas Tech------
11vs Kansas------
12vs Houston------
13@ Utah------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off36thRush Off54thRed Zone Off22th3rd Down Off65thPass Def8thRush Def66thRed Zone Def80th3rd Down Def89th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.02143th+0.07125th
Red Zone-0.27322th-0.62780th
Third Down+0.30465th-0.75489th
No Garbage Time+0.02140th+0.07125th
First Half+0.17266th-0.46288th
Second Half-0.20519th+0.4356th
Early Downs-0.04535th+0.01334th
Passing Downs-0.07036th+0.5178th
Standard Downs+0.06254th-0.21566th
Goal to Go+0.55472th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 18.7%Rush 81.3%
Havoc/Game
22.0
Havoc Rate
33.8%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
413.0
Pts/Drive
2.21
3rd Down%
50.0%
3&Out%
35.7%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — West Virginia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWest VirginiaOpponents
Scoring
Points3124
Points / Game31.024.0
First Downs
Total1822
Rushing113
Passing615
Penalty14
Rushing
Attempts6127
Yards28152
Yards / Carry4.61.9
Yards / Game281.052.0
Touchdowns30
Passing
Attempts1437
Completions1121
Completion %78.6%56.8%
Yards132373
Yards / Attempt9.410.1
Touchdowns13
Interceptions00
Passer Rating181.34168.19
Total Offense
Plays7564
Yards413425
Yards / Play5.56.6
Yards / Game413.0425.0
Punt Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns10
Yards190
Average19.0—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts66
Yards248253
Average41.342.2
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles23
Lost12
Penalties
Penalties710
Yards7060
Yards / Game70.060.0
Time of Possession
Per Game32:5627:04
Third Downs
Attempts1810
Conversions92
Conversion %50.0%20.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts12
Conversions11
Conversion %100.0%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips53
Scores (TD + FG)42
Score %80.0%66.7%
Touchdowns31
TD %60.0%33.3%
Field Goals
Attempts11
Made11
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts43
Made43
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →