Fourth Down Data
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UTAH

Utah

UtesRun-Heavy
Big 12 Conference1-0#68 (+1.08)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

51· COverall
Offense
68· CRating
82· BPer play
77· BConsistency
85· BBig plays
Defense
38· DRating
64· CPer play
72· BConsistency
Situational
59· CRed-zone O
0· FRed-zone D
89· B3rd down O
54· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.030
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.011
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.275
Defensive EPA/play
-0.204
lower = better
Off Success Rate
58.7%
Def Success Rate
36.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
29.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.479
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.75

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.33
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.12
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.38
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.07
own return game
Return Defense
-0.00
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Utah ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
72th
Opp-adjusted defense
43th
Offensive EPA/play
83th
Defensive EPA/play
65th
Offensive success rate
88th
Explosiveness
86th
Defensive havoc
25th
Points per drive
82th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Iowa State2024OA +0.039 / +0.005similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, run defense3882Buffalo2018OA +0.077 / -0.060similar: defensive success rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA3643Minnesota2019OA +0.177 / +0.011similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3424Ball State2019OA +0.005 / -0.021similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, passing offense3405Kansas State2022OA +0.082 / +0.085similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, TD drive rate335

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Idaho66-14W-35.0W57.5O
2vs Arkansas------
3vs Utah State------
4@ Iowa State------
6vs Kansas------
7@ Colorado------
8vs Houston------
9@ Cincinnati------
10vs BYU------
11@ Arizona------
12@ TCU------
13vs West Virginia------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off99thRush Off76thRed Zone Off60th3rd Down Off90thPass Def39thRush Def61thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def55th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.33793th-0.08053th
Red Zone+0.18060th+1.8130th
Third Down+0.87290th-0.14955th
No Garbage Time+0.27584th-0.20466th
First Half+0.24677th-0.20466th
Second Half+0.42793th+0.07634th
Early Downs+0.24687th-0.15460th
Passing Downs+1.02799th+0.03639th
Standard Downs+0.15076th-0.17261th
Goal to Go-0.03930th+1.6749th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 34.7%Rush 65.3%
Havoc/Game
8.0
Havoc Rate
13.1%
TO Margin
+2.0
Explosive/G
13.0
Yards/Game
633.0
Pts/Drive
4.75
3rd Down%
66.7%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Utah vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUtahOpponents
Scoring
Points6614
Points / Game66.014.0
First Downs
Total3313
Rushing177
Passing156
Penalty10
Rushing
Attempts4931
Yards364106
Yards / Carry7.43.4
Yards / Game364.0106.0
Touchdowns42
Passing
Attempts2630
Completions1711
Completion %65.4%36.7%
Yards269119
Yards / Attempt10.34.0
Touchdowns50
Interceptions01
Passer Rating215.7563.32
Total Offense
Plays7561
Yards633225
Yards / Play8.43.7
Yards / Game633.0225.0
Punt Returns
Returns20
Yards330
Average16.5—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards017
Average—17.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts17
Yards47324
Average47.046.3
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards20
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles11
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties15
Yards1035
Yards / Game10.035.0
Time of Possession
Per Game34:2025:40
Third Downs
Attempts1213
Conversions83
Conversion %66.7%23.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts22
Conversions11
Conversion %50.0%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips91
Scores (TD + FG)81
Score %88.9%100.0%
Touchdowns71
TD %77.8%100.0%
Field Goals
Attempts10
Made10
Pct100.0%—
PAT Kicking
Attempts92
Made92
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →