Fourth Down Data
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RUTG

Rutgers

Scarlet KnightsPass-Heavy
Big Ten Conference0-1#133 (-12.92)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

4· FOverall
Offense
6· FRating
4· FPer play
7· FConsistency
47· CBig plays
Defense
9· FRating
17· DPer play
17· DConsistency
Situational
29· DRed-zone O
43· CRed-zone D
29· D3rd down O
56· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.094
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.063
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.412
Defensive EPA/play
+0.141
lower = better
Off Success Rate
38.1%
Def Success Rate
50.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.552
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.78

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.65
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.16
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.49
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.05
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Rutgers ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
3th
Opp-adjusted defense
10th
Offensive EPA/play
4th
Defensive EPA/play
18th
Offensive success rate
14th
Explosiveness
47th
Defensive havoc
1th
Points per drive
10th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1NC State2026OA -0.050 / -0.006similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4072UNLV2021OA -0.090 / -0.053similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA3823Florida International2023OA -0.096 / -0.084similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, offensive success rate3744Vanderbilt2020OA -0.024 / -0.050similar: run defense, TD drive rate, pass defense3695Boston College2025OA -0.019 / -0.094similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, havoc rate361

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Massachusetts21-37L-29.0L52.5O
2@ Boston College------
3vs USC------
4vs Howard------
5vs Indiana------
7@ Maryland------
8@ Northwestern------
9vs Michigan------
10@ Wisconsin------
11vs Nebraska------
12@ Penn State------
13vs Michigan State------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off74thRush Off4thRed Zone Off29th3rd Down Off29thPass Def60thRush Def6thRed Zone Def43th3rd Down Def56th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.12422th+0.14115th
Red Zone-0.16629th-0.01043th
Third Down-0.18729th-0.15456th
No Garbage Time-0.4124th+0.14118th
First Half-0.24712th+0.4651th
Second Half-0.03843th-0.23972th
Early Downs-0.7190th+0.3215th
Passing Downs+0.36374th-0.15960th
Standard Downs-0.3864th+0.2706th
Goal to Go+0.56974th-0.42883th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 60.3%Rush 39.7%
Havoc/Game
4.0
Havoc Rate
5.9%
TO Margin
-4.0
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
346.0
Pts/Drive
0.78
3rd Down%
27.3%
3&Out%
22.2%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Rutgers vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatRutgersOpponents
Scoring
Points2137
Points / Game21.037.0
First Downs
Total1821
Rushing513
Passing128
Penalty10
Rushing
Attempts2541
Yards27200
Yards / Carry1.14.9
Yards / Game27.0200.0
Touchdowns01
Passing
Attempts3822
Completions2219
Completion %57.9%86.4%
Yards319197
Yards / Attempt8.49.0
Touchdowns33
Interceptions30
Passer Rating138.67206.58
Total Offense
Plays6363
Yards346397
Yards / Play5.56.3
Yards / Game346.0397.0
Punt Returns
Returns20
Yards240
Average12.0—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns01
Yards08
Average—8.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts33
Yards130172
Average43.357.3
Interception Returns
Returns03
Yards012
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles11
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties78
Yards3460
Yards / Game34.060.0
Time of Possession
Per Game23:3936:21
Third Downs
Attempts1111
Conversions34
Conversion %27.3%36.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts51
Conversions41
Conversion %80.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips34
Scores (TD + FG)24
Score %66.7%100.0%
Touchdowns22
TD %66.7%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts03
Made03
Pct—100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts34
Made34
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →