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UConn
HuskiesBalancedFBS Independents2-10#130 (-22.59)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
4· FOverall
Offense
7· FRating
11· FPer play
22· DConsistency
9· FBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
1· FPer play
1· FConsistency
Situational
33· DRed-zone O
1· FRed-zone D
9· F3rd down O
8· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.151
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.176
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.135
Defensive EPA/play
+0.177
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.6%
Def Success Rate
52.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
28.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.312
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.068
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.56
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.08
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.74
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#130
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 55 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UConn ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense6th
Opp-adjusted defense1th
Offensive EPA/play11th
Defensive EPA/play1th
Offensive success rate25th
Explosiveness9th
Defensive havoc6th
Points per drive14th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Rutgers2019OA -0.170 / -0.065similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, defensive EPA4392San José State2017OA -0.187 / -0.129similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, takeaway rate4333East Carolina2026OA -0.001 / -0.051similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate4114Florida International2021OA -0.073 / -0.185similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, havoc rate4085Southern Miss2024OA -0.070 / -0.059similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, defensive EPA396
2019 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wagner | 24-21 | W | -23.0 | L | 70.5 | U |
| 2 | vs Illinois | 23-31 | L | +21.0 | W | 59 | U |
| 4 | @ Indiana | 3-38 | L | +27.5 | L | 57 | U |
| 5 | @ UCF | 21-56 | L | +42.0 | W | 65 | O |
| 6 | vs South Florida | 22-48 | L | +10.5 | L | 48.5 | O |
| 7 | @ Tulane | 7-49 | L | +33.5 | L | 57 | U |
| 8 | vs Houston | 17-24 | L | +21.0 | W | 56 | U |
| 9 | @ Massachusetts | 56-35 | W | -9.5 | W | 62 | O |
| 10 | vs Navy | 10-56 | L | +26.5 | L | 55 | O |
| 11 | @ Cincinnati | 3-48 | L | +34.0 | L | 53 | U |
| 13 | vs East Carolina | 24-31 | L | +16.0 | W | 64.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Temple | 17-49 | L | +27.0 | L | 48 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
2-10
16.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS1-1
Underdog ATS4-6
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.105 | 14th | +0.154 | 2th |
| Red Zone | -0.097 | 33th | +0.304 | 1th |
| Third Down | -0.209 | 9th | +0.290 | 8th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.150 | 10th | +0.183 | 1th |
| First Half | -0.159 | 10th | +0.164 | 3th |
| Second Half | -0.048 | 31th | +0.144 | 6th |
| Early Downs | -0.113 | 13th | +0.041 | 30th |
| Passing Downs | -0.030 | 38th | +0.324 | 4th |
| Standard Downs | -0.151 | 7th | +0.079 | 14th |
| Goal to Go | -0.216 | 26th | +0.194 | 16th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 47.2%Rush 52.8%
Havoc/Game
9.6
Havoc Rate
13.8%
TO Margin
-0.7
Explosive/G
10.4
Yards/Game
344.7
Pts/Drive
1.56
3rd Down%
29.4%
3&Out%
21.6%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 12 games — UConn vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UConn | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 227 | 486 |
| Points / Game | 18.9 | 40.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 224 | 284 |
| Rushing | 91 | 130 |
| Passing | 110 | 126 |
| Penalty | 23 | 28 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 428 | 457 |
| Yards | 1,544 | 2,683 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.6 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 128.7 | 223.6 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 34 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 382 | 343 |
| Completions | 228 | 219 |
| Completion % | 59.7% | 63.8% |
| Yards | 2,592 | 2,919 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions | 15 | 7 |
| Passer Rating | 120.92 | 158.19 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 810 | 800 |
| Yards | 4,136 | 5,602 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 7.0 |
| Yards / Game | 344.7 | 466.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 21 |
| Yards | 107 | 108 |
| Average | 11.9 | 5.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 39 | 30 |
| Yards | 790 | 736 |
| Average | 20.3 | 24.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 65 | 43 |
| Yards | 2,716 | 1,738 |
| Average | 41.8 | 40.4 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 7 | 15 |
| Yards | 147 | 347 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 5 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 11 |
| Lost | 7 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 74 | 67 |
| Yards | 618 | 592 |
| Yards / Game | 51.5 | 49.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 32:37 | 27:23 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 163 | 134 |
| Conversions | 48 | 67 |
| Conversion % | 29.4% | 50.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 15 |
| Conversions | 10 | 6 |
| Conversion % | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 35 | 53 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 27 | 49 |
| Score % | 77.1% | 92.5% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 45 |
| TD % | 60.0% | 84.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 7 |
| Made | 10 | 6 |
| Pct | 62.5% | 85.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 67 |
| Made | 27 | 66 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 98.5% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.