Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA1-11#127 (-12.32)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

5· FOverall
Offense
7· FRating
19· DPer play
7· FConsistency
17· DBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
7· FPer play
5· FConsistency
Situational
4· FRed-zone O
6· FRed-zone D
12· F3rd down O
7· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.073
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.185
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.092
Defensive EPA/play
+0.154
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.8%
Def Success Rate
51.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.246
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.084
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.54

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.69
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.16
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.43
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.21
own return game
Return Defense
-0.21
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#127
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#117
market 10 higher
Recruiting Rank
#72
recruiting 55 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
23th
Opp-adjusted defense
3th
Offensive EPA/play
20th
Defensive EPA/play
7th
Offensive success rate
16th
Explosiveness
17th
Defensive havoc
2th
Points per drive
12th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1East Carolina2026OA -0.001 / -0.051similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, turnover rate4112UConn2019OA -0.151 / -0.176similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, havoc rate4083Middle Tennessee2024OA -0.043 / -0.072similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate3974UNLV2020OA -0.027 / -0.044similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3845UL Monroe2020OA -0.067 / -0.040similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, havoc rate370

2021 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs LIU48-10W----
2vs Texas State17-23L-1.5L54.5U
3@ Texas Tech21-54L+30.5L71.5O
4@ Central Michigan27-31L+12.0W55.5O
5@ Florida Atlantic21-58L+3.5L60O
6vs Charlotte33-45L----
8vs Western Kentucky19-34L+15.0P76.5U
9@ Marshall0-38L+21.5L64.5U
10vs Old Dominion24-47L+2.5L51O
11@ Middle Tennessee10-50L+10.0L56O
12vs North Texas7-49L+10.0L58U
13@ Southern Miss17-37L+10.5L46.25O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-9-1
10.0%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS0-4
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS1-8
Last 5 ATS
LLLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off23thRush Off35thRed Zone Off5th3rd Down Off12thPass Def25thRush Def5thRed Zone Def6th3rd Down Def7th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.06227th+0.1444th
Red Zone-0.3795th+0.2116th
Third Down-0.18112th+0.3637th
No Garbage Time-0.09320th+0.1498th
First Half-0.08225th+0.1705th
Second Half-0.04233th+0.11511th
Early Downs-0.02742th+0.1118th
Passing Downs-0.10823th+0.09225th
Standard Downs-0.03735th+0.1665th
Goal to Go-0.4593th-0.03654th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.5%Rush 49.5%
Havoc/Game
8.9
Havoc Rate
11.6%
TO Margin
-1.1
Explosive/G
10.9
Yards/Game
367.3
Pts/Drive
1.54
3rd Down%
32.9%
3&Out%
32.3%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 12 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points244476
Points / Game20.339.7
First Downs
Total194299
Rushing63148
Passing117137
Penalty1414
Rushing
Attempts371506
Yards1,2252,758
Yards / Carry3.35.5
Yards / Game102.1229.8
Touchdowns1130
Passing
Attempts379376
Completions202258
Completion %53.3%68.6%
Yards3,1823,154
Yards / Attempt8.48.4
Touchdowns2028
Interceptions123
Passer Rating134.90162.06
Total Offense
Plays750882
Yards4,4075,912
Yards / Play5.96.7
Yards / Game367.3492.7
Punt Returns
Returns1426
Yards98273
Average7.010.5
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns3324
Yards574533
Average17.422.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7556
Yards3,5362,249
Average47.140.2
Interception Returns
Returns312
Yards0287
Touchdowns04
Fumbles
Fumbles1511
Lost106
Penalties
Penalties7062
Yards606588
Yards / Game50.549.0
Time of Possession
Per Game26:2233:04
Third Downs
Attempts161168
Conversions5378
Conversion %32.9%46.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1412
Conversions69
Conversion %42.9%75.0%
Red Zone
Trips3254
Scores (TD + FG)2148
Score %65.6%88.9%
Touchdowns1636
TD %50.0%66.7%
Field Goals
Attempts1319
Made815
Pct61.5%78.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3160
Made2857
Pct90.3%95.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →