Fourth Down Data
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UNLV

UNLV

RebelsBalanced
Mountain West Conference0-6#122 (-8.87)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

5· FOverall
Offense
12· FRating
17· DPer play
11· FConsistency
41· CBig plays
Defense
5· FRating
6· FPer play
16· DConsistency
Situational
38· DRed-zone O
43· CRed-zone D
55· C3rd down O
15· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.027
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.044
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.100
Defensive EPA/play
+0.178
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.9%
Def Success Rate
51.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.278
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.028
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.35

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.41
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.33
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.48
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.34
own return game
Return Defense
+0.74
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#122
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#107
market 15 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where UNLV ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
20th
Opp-adjusted defense
6th
Offensive EPA/play
17th
Defensive EPA/play
6th
Offensive success rate
11th
Explosiveness
41th
Defensive havoc
19th
Points per drive
9th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UConn2023OA -0.119 / -0.056similar: offensive EPA, defensive success rate, offensive success rate4022New Mexico State2018OA -0.133 / -0.120similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA3943Florida International2021OA -0.073 / -0.185similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3844UConn2019OA -0.151 / -0.176similar: pass defense, run defense, passing offense3775Texas State2021OA -0.092 / -0.137similar: passing offense, turnover rate, defensive success rate373

2020 Schedule & Results

6 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
8@ San Diego State6-34L+14.5L49U
9vs Nevada19-37L+14.0L59.5U
10vs Fresno State27-40L+11.0L58O
11@ San José State17-34L+15.5L59U
13vs Wyoming14-45L----
15@ Hawai'i21-38L+19.0W58.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-5
16.7%
O/U Record
3-3
50.0%
Straight Up
0-6
0.0%
Home ATS0-3
Away ATS1-2
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-5
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off16thRush Off40thRed Zone Off38th3rd Down Off55thPass Def15thRush Def3thRed Zone Def43th3rd Down Def16th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.06221th+0.1764th
Red Zone-0.05738th+0.02143th
Third Down+0.10655th+0.29116th
No Garbage Time-0.06723th+0.1656th
First Half-0.10819th+0.1869th
Second Half-0.01641th+0.16411th
Early Downs-0.07921th+0.1167th
Passing Downs-0.12316th+0.18015th
Standard Downs-0.02340th+0.1753th
Goal to Go+0.728100th-0.02561th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.7%Rush 53.3%
Havoc/Game
10.7
Havoc Rate
14.8%
TO Margin
-0.7
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
330.5
Pts/Drive
1.35
3rd Down%
37.0%
3&Out%
33.8%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 6 games — UNLV vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUNLVOpponents
Scoring
Points104228
Points / Game17.338.0
First Downs
Total113136
Rushing5474
Passing5351
Penalty611
Rushing
Attempts224241
Yards8681,530
Yards / Carry3.96.3
Yards / Game144.7255.0
Touchdowns722
Passing
Attempts196163
Completions11599
Completion %58.7%60.7%
Yards1,1151,363
Yards / Attempt5.78.4
Touchdowns66
Interceptions42
Passer Rating112.48140.67
Total Offense
Plays420404
Yards1,9832,893
Yards / Play4.77.2
Yards / Game330.5482.2
Punt Returns
Returns515
Yards3974
Average7.84.9
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2118
Yards409427
Average19.523.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3521
Yards1,388863
Average39.741.1
Interception Returns
Returns24
Yards2330
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles55
Lost53
Penalties
Penalties4040
Yards339312
Yards / Game56.552.0
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1830:42
Third Downs
Attempts9277
Conversions3436
Conversion %37.0%46.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts156
Conversions104
Conversion %66.7%66.7%
Red Zone
Trips1933
Scores (TD + FG)1530
Score %78.9%90.9%
Touchdowns1020
TD %52.6%60.6%
Field Goals
Attempts612
Made511
Pct83.3%91.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts1228
Made1127
Pct91.7%96.4%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →