Fourth Down Data
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ULM

UL Monroe

WarhawksRun-Heavy
Sun Belt Conference0-1#124 (-8.93)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

10· FOverall
Offense
30· DRating
7· FPer play
5· FConsistency
8· FBig plays
Defense
6· FRating
13· FPer play
8· FConsistency
Situational
48· CRed-zone D
30· D3rd down O
38· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.032
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.028
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.270
Defensive EPA/play
+0.211
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.2%
Def Success Rate
53.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
15.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.481
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.60

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.43
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.34
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.01
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.08
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where UL Monroe ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
21th
Opp-adjusted defense
31th
Offensive EPA/play
7th
Defensive EPA/play
13th
Offensive success rate
20th
Explosiveness
8th
Defensive havoc
9th
Points per drive
8th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Wisconsin2026OA -0.037 / -0.038similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, takeaway rate4172Vanderbilt2021OA -0.106 / -0.066similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate3673UNLV2020OA -0.027 / -0.044similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, run defense3504UCLA2018OA +0.036 / -0.086similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate3485Hawai'i2022OA -0.087 / -0.155similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, havoc rate346

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Mississippi State13-62L+28.5L54.5O
2@ UAB------
3vs Southeastern Louisiana------
4vs Florida Atlantic------
5@ South Alabama------
7vs Louisiana Tech------
8@ Troy------
9vs Southern Miss------
10@ Arkansas State------
11vs Louisiana------
12@ App State------
13vs Marshall------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off49thRush Off50thRed Zone Off0th3rd Down Off31thPass Def12thRush Def7thRed Zone Def49th3rd Down Def38th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.04547th+0.3035th
Red Zone-0th-0.10549th
Third Down-0.17131th+0.04338th
No Garbage Time-0.2887th+0.2758th
First Half-0.28810th+0.2759th
Second Half+0.32485th+0.35111th
Early Downs+0.00342th+0.21010th
Passing Downs+0.04049th+0.41112th
Standard Downs+0.04750th+0.2617th
Goal to Go-0th+0.85323th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.2%Rush 58.8%
Havoc/Game
8.0
Havoc Rate
9.9%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
4.0
Yards/Game
278.0
Pts/Drive
0.60
3rd Down%
18.8%
3&Out%
60.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — UL Monroe vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUL MonroeOpponents
Scoring
Points1362
Points / Game13.062.0
First Downs
Total1435
Rushing514
Passing721
Penalty20
Rushing
Attempts4037
Yards138345
Yards / Carry3.59.3
Yards / Game138.0345.0
Touchdowns04
Passing
Attempts2842
Completions1627
Completion %57.1%64.3%
Yards140417
Yards / Attempt5.09.9
Touchdowns14
Interceptions00
Passer Rating110.93179.11
Total Offense
Plays6879
Yards278762
Yards / Play4.19.6
Yards / Game278.0762.0
Punt Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Average——
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts72
Yards31271
Average44.635.5
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles10
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties58
Yards5578
Yards / Game55.078.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:4728:13
Third Downs
Attempts1611
Conversions35
Conversion %18.8%45.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts31
Conversions21
Conversion %66.7%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips06
Scores (TD + FG)06
Score %—100.0%
Touchdowns04
TD %—66.7%
Field Goals
Attempts32
Made22
Pct66.7%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts18
Made18
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →