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HAW
Hawai'i
Rainbow WarriorsPass-HeavyMountain West Conference0-2
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.078
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.040
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.106
Defensive EPA/play
+0.022
lower = better
Off Success Rate
36.4%
Def Success Rate
44.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.128
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.36
Peer Context
Where Hawai'i ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense7th
Opp-adjusted defense22th
Offensive EPA/play24th
Defensive EPA/play34th
Offensive success rate9th
Explosiveness50th
Defensive havoc20th
Points per drive22th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Arkansas State2021OA -0.102 / -0.143similar: offensive success rate, pass defense, offensive EPA3792San José State2026OA -0.007 / +0.033similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, havoc rate3773Colorado2025OA -0.044 / -0.049similar: run defense, offensive success rate, turnover rate3674Nebraska2017OA +0.058 / -0.086similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, takeaway rate3655New Mexico State2018OA -0.133 / -0.120similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, offensive success rate363
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @ Stanford | 27-37 | L | +4.0 | L | 48.5 | O |
| 1 | vs UNLV | 6-21 | L | +3.0 | L | 55.5 | U |
| 2 | vs New Mexico State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Wyoming | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs San José State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Arizona State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs New Mexico | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | @ Northern Illinois | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ UTEP | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs North Dakota State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Nevada | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Sacramento State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-2
0.0%
O/U Record
1-1
50.0%
Straight Up
0-2
0.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-2
Last 5 ATS
LL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 63.6%Rush 36.4%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
12.1%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
1.36
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
44.0%