Fourth Down Data
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UGA

Georgia

BulldogsBalanced
Southeastern Conference1-0#5 (+11.12)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

96· AOverall
Offense
98· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
99· A+Consistency
12· FBig plays
Defense
67· CRating
96· APer play
99· A+Consistency
Situational
94· ARed-zone O
71· BRed-zone D
92· A-3rd down O
47· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.060
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.055
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.519
Defensive EPA/play
-0.759
lower = better
Off Success Rate
63.3%
Def Success Rate
44.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
16.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+1.279
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
7.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.02
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.03
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.02
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.00
own return game
Return Defense
-0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#5
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
model 21 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
91th
Opp-adjusted defense
85th
Offensive EPA/play
99th
Defensive EPA/play
97th
Offensive success rate
99th
Explosiveness
12th
Defensive havoc
67th
Points per drive
99th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Alabama2022OA +0.176 / +0.135similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, takeaway rate3022South Carolina2026OA +0.069 / +0.042similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, rushing offense2973Alabama2021OA +0.139 / +0.155similar: turnover rate, pass defense, offensive EPA2944Alabama2018OA +0.280 / +0.145similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA2935Buffalo2020OA +0.050 / +0.018similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, havoc rate292

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Tennessee State63-3W-48.5W55.5O
2vs Western Kentucky------
3@ Arkansas------
4vs Oklahoma------
5vs Vanderbilt------
6@ Alabama------
7vs Auburn------
9vs Florida------
10@ Ole Miss------
11vs Missouri------
12@ South Carolina------
13vs Georgia Tech------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off74thRush Off94thRed Zone Off95th3rd Down Off93thPass Def70thRush Def46thRed Zone Def72th3rd Down Def47th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.37396th-0.14658th
Red Zone+0.76495th-0.45072th
Third Down+0.91493th-0.07147th
No Garbage Time+0.25681th-0.19964th
First Half+0.25678th-0.19964th
Second Half+0.50696th-0.09352th
Early Downs+0.35196th-0.10855th
Passing Downs+0.36074th-0.22670th
Standard Downs+0.37794th-0.08546th
Goal to Go+0.34853th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 55.0%Rush 45.0%
Havoc/Game
14.0
Havoc Rate
24.1%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
4.0
Yards/Game
660.0
Pts/Drive
7.00
3rd Down%
66.7%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgiaOpponents
Scoring
Points633
Points / Game63.03.0
First Downs
Total3110
Rushing133
Passing185
Penalty02
Rushing
Attempts2732
Yards27210
Yards / Carry10.10.3
Yards / Game272.010.0
Touchdowns40
Passing
Attempts3326
Completions2515
Completion %75.8%57.7%
Yards38899
Yards / Attempt11.83.8
Touchdowns50
Interceptions00
Passer Rating224.5289.68
Total Offense
Plays6058
Yards660109
Yards / Play11.01.9
Yards / Game660.0109.0
Punt Returns
Returns50
Yards680
Average13.6—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns20
Yards430
Average21.5—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts19
Yards65386
Average65.042.9
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles10
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties81
Yards8510
Yards / Game85.010.0
Time of Possession
Per Game28:2731:33
Third Downs
Attempts617
Conversions46
Conversion %66.7%35.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts11
Conversions00
Conversion %0.0%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips81
Scores (TD + FG)71
Score %87.5%100.0%
Touchdowns70
TD %87.5%0.0%
Field Goals
Attempts01
Made01
Pct—100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts90
Made90
Pct100.0%—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →