Fourth Down Data
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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference0-1#100 (-4.03)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

27· DOverall
Offense
4· FRating
16· DPer play
17· DConsistency
21· DBig plays
Defense
49· CRating
38· DPer play
56· CConsistency
Situational
5· FRed-zone O
52· CRed-zone D
19· D3rd down O
32· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.049
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.024
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.174
Defensive EPA/play
-0.004
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.7%
Def Success Rate
40.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
18.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.169
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.67

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+2.23
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.38
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+1.96
own return game
Return Defense
+0.09
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
16th
Opp-adjusted defense
31th
Offensive EPA/play
16th
Defensive EPA/play
38th
Offensive success rate
18th
Explosiveness
21th
Defensive havoc
21th
Points per drive
9th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Baylor2017OA -0.048 / -0.025similar: rushing offense, offensive success rate, takeaway rate3642Wake Forest2023OA -0.025 / +0.010similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, pass defense3403Liberty2026OA +0.021 / +0.022similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, havoc rate3394Tennessee2018OA +0.008 / +0.019similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3235San Diego State2024OA -0.047 / -0.034similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA315

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Colorado13-14L-6.5L51.5U
2vs Tennessee------
3vs Mercer------
4@ Stanford------
6vs Duke------
7@ Virginia Tech------
8vs Boston College------
9@ Pittsburgh------
10vs Louisville------
11@ Clemson------
12vs Wake Forest------
13@ Georgia------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off41thRush Off11thRed Zone Off5th3rd Down Off19thPass Def31thRush Def54thRed Zone Def53th3rd Down Def32th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.17415th-0.00438th
Red Zone-0.7625th-0.14253th
Third Down-0.31919th+0.14032th
No Garbage Time-0.17416th-0.00439th
First Half-0.3018th-0.21969th
Second Half-0.04742th+0.20021th
Early Downs-0.3464th-0.09950th
Passing Downs-0.04341th+0.19431th
Standard Downs-0.26411th-0.12054th
Goal to Go-0.8262th-0.71192th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.4%Rush 55.6%
Havoc/Game
10.0
Havoc Rate
12.7%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
10.0
Yards/Game
288.0
Pts/Drive
0.67
3rd Down%
38.5%
3&Out%
22.2%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points1314
Points / Game13.014.0
First Downs
Total1721
Rushing413
Passing107
Penalty31
Rushing
Attempts3049
Yards51183
Yards / Carry1.73.7
Yards / Game51.0183.0
Touchdowns01
Passing
Attempts2427
Completions1714
Completion %70.8%51.9%
Yards237124
Yards / Attempt9.94.6
Touchdowns01
Interceptions00
Passer Rating153.78102.65
Total Offense
Plays5476
Yards288307
Yards / Play5.34.0
Yards / Game288.0307.0
Punt Returns
Returns12
Yards-107
Average-10.03.5
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns21
Yards13012
Average65.012.0
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts46
Yards149245
Average37.340.8
Interception Returns
Returns00
Yards00
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles31
Lost10
Penalties
Penalties96
Yards4960
Yards / Game49.060.0
Time of Possession
Per Game25:5134:09
Third Downs
Attempts1317
Conversions57
Conversion %38.5%41.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts03
Conversions02
Conversion %—66.7%
Red Zone
Trips34
Scores (TD + FG)22
Score %66.7%50.0%
Touchdowns02
TD %0.0%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts41
Made20
Pct50.0%0.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts12
Made12
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →