Fourth Down Data
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PUR

Purdue

BoilermakersBalanced
Big Ten Conference1-0#64 (+1.61)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

53· COverall
Offense
66· CRating
70· BPer play
58· CConsistency
84· BBig plays
Defense
43· CRating
75· BPer play
85· BConsistency
Situational
34· DRed-zone O
76· BRed-zone D
51· C3rd down O
23· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.017
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.004
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.210
Defensive EPA/play
-0.260
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.3%
Def Success Rate
32.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
28.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.470
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.63

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.00
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.15
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.02
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.17
own return game
Return Defense
+0.00
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Purdue ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
59th
Opp-adjusted defense
54th
Offensive EPA/play
71th
Defensive EPA/play
76th
Offensive success rate
46th
Explosiveness
85th
Defensive havoc
89th
Points per drive
77th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UTSA2024OA +0.005 / +0.018similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, turnover rate3662Texas A&M2023OA +0.003 / +0.073similar: defensive EPA, TD drive rate, defensive success rate3633Miami (OH)2021OA -0.032 / +0.021similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, passing offense3604LSU2024OA +0.031 / -0.003similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3535NC State2018OA +0.065 / -0.007similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, passing offense352

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Indiana State44-19W-35.5L56.25O
2vs Wake Forest------
3@ UCLA------
4vs Notre Dame------
5@ Illinois------
6vs Minnesota------
7vs Washington------
9@ Penn State------
10vs Maryland------
11@ Iowa------
12vs Wisconsin------
13@ Indiana------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off53thRush Off71thRed Zone Off34th3rd Down Off52thPass Def7thRush Def99thRed Zone Def77th3rd Down Def23th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.11065th+0.00936th
Red Zone-0.13034th-0.56377th
Third Down+0.11652th+0.27023th
No Garbage Time+0.21073th-0.26076th
First Half+0.05050th-0.10749th
Second Half+0.19372th+0.10629th
Early Downs+0.12672th-0.39888th
Passing Downs+0.06553th+0.5657th
Standard Downs+0.12771th-0.59999th
Goal to Go-0.33618th+0.56837th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.9%Rush 54.1%
Havoc/Game
15.0
Havoc Rate
31.3%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
16.0
Yards/Game
523.0
Pts/Drive
4.63
3rd Down%
54.5%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Purdue vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatPurdueOpponents
Scoring
Points4419
Points / Game44.019.0
First Downs
Total2812
Rushing94
Passing166
Penalty32
Rushing
Attempts4024
Yards17766
Yards / Carry4.42.8
Yards / Game177.066.0
Touchdowns11
Passing
Attempts3422
Completions2712
Completion %79.4%54.5%
Yards346218
Yards / Attempt10.29.9
Touchdowns31
Interceptions01
Passer Rating194.01143.69
Total Offense
Plays7446
Yards523284
Yards / Play7.16.2
Yards / Game523.0284.0
Punt Returns
Returns31
Yards245
Average8.05.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns20
Yards420
Average21.0—
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts15
Yards54195
Average54.039.0
Interception Returns
Returns10
Yards350
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles02
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties97
Yards8567
Yards / Game85.067.0
Time of Possession
Per Game37:2222:38
Third Downs
Attempts1112
Conversions64
Conversion %54.5%33.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts10
Conversions00
Conversion %0.0%—
Red Zone
Trips62
Scores (TD + FG)62
Score %100.0%100.0%
Touchdowns41
TD %66.7%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts32
Made32
Pct100.0%100.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts52
Made51
Pct100.0%50.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →