Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
IOWA

Iowa

HawkeyesBalanced
Big Ten Conference1-0#12 (+9.86)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

91· A-Overall
Offense
78· BRating
59· CPer play
77· BConsistency
61· CBig plays
Defense
90· A-Rating
98· A+Per play
98· A+Consistency
Situational
16· DRed-zone O
38· D3rd down O
98· A+3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.010
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.089
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.119
Defensive EPA/play
-0.785
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.2%
Def Success Rate
23.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.904
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.43

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.45
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.03
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.48
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.88
own return game
Return Defense
+0.13
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#12
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
model 14 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Iowa ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
53th
Opp-adjusted defense
96th
Offensive EPA/play
60th
Defensive EPA/play
99th
Offensive success rate
39th
Explosiveness
62th
Defensive havoc
90th
Points per drive
74th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Maryland2026OA -0.021 / +0.097similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, run defense4222James Madison2024OA -0.011 / +0.047similar: defensive success rate, havoc rate, turnover rate3703Georgia Southern2026OA -0.032 / +0.085similar: run defense, rushing offense, offensive success rate3524Boise State2022OA -0.051 / +0.066similar: pass defense, passing offense, defensive success rate3475Western Michigan2025OA -0.069 / +0.069similar: run defense, takeaway rate, havoc rate338

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Northern Illinois40-0W-31.5W44.5U
2vs Iowa State------
3vs Northern Iowa------
4@ Michigan------
5vs Ohio State------
6@ Washington------
8@ Minnesota------
9vs Wisconsin------
10@ Northwestern------
11vs Purdue------
12@ Illinois------
13vs Nebraska------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off26thRush Off23thRed Zone Off16th3rd Down Off39thPass Def83thRush Def98thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def99th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.15020th-0.48799th
Red Zone-0.34516th-0th
Third Down-0.04839th-1.18999th
No Garbage Time+0.06753th-0.75798th
First Half+0.06753th-0.75798th
Second Half-0.5372th-0.32085th
Early Downs+0.05155th-0.36086th
Passing Downs-0.18226th-0.37783th
Standard Downs-0.13423th-0.57198th
Goal to Go-0.38416th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 51.3%Rush 48.7%
Havoc/Game
18.0
Havoc Rate
32.7%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
9.0
Yards/Game
507.0
Pts/Drive
4.43
3rd Down%
42.9%
3&Out%
14.3%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Iowa vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatIowaOpponents
Scoring
Points400
Points / Game40.00.0
First Downs
Total267
Rushing131
Passing115
Penalty21
Rushing
Attempts3831
Yards2897
Yards / Carry7.60.2
Yards / Game289.07.0
Touchdowns20
Passing
Attempts4024
Completions2113
Completion %52.5%54.2%
Yards218113
Yards / Attempt5.54.7
Touchdowns20
Interceptions11
Passer Rating109.7885.38
Total Offense
Plays7855
Yards507120
Yards / Play6.52.2
Yards / Game507.0120.0
Punt Returns
Returns50
Yards1240
Average24.8—
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns03
Yards035
Average—11.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts311
Yards131460
Average43.741.8
Interception Returns
Returns11
Yards170
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles01
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties77
Yards6061
Yards / Game60.061.0
Time of Possession
Per Game33:5126:09
Third Downs
Attempts1415
Conversions63
Conversion %42.9%20.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts30
Conversions00
Conversion %0.0%—
Red Zone
Trips50
Scores (TD + FG)30
Score %60.0%—
Touchdowns20
TD %40.0%—
Field Goals
Attempts30
Made20
Pct66.7%—
PAT Kicking
Attempts50
Made40
Pct80.0%—
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →