Fourth Down Data
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UGA

Georgia

BulldogsBalanced
Southeastern Conference12-2#5 (+23.68)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

96· AOverall
Offense
89· BRating
45· CPer play
79· BConsistency
56· CBig plays
Defense
97· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
97· A+Consistency
Situational
69· CRed-zone O
75· BRed-zone D
55· C3rd down O
90· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.072
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.181
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.002
Defensive EPA/play
-0.201
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.8%
Def Success Rate
39.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
18.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.200
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.003
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.38

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.41
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.02
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
-0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#5
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#4
AP 1 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#2
recruiting 3 spots higher
70 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
77th
Opp-adjusted defense
98th
Offensive EPA/play
46th
Defensive EPA/play
99th
Offensive success rate
87th
Explosiveness
57th
Defensive havoc
72th
Points per drive
63th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Missouri2024OA +0.015 / +0.040similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, run defense3692Clemson2022OA +0.026 / +0.116similar: rushing offense, passing offense, run defense3643LSU2017OA +0.097 / +0.076similar: rushing offense, offensive success rate, turnover rate3584Texas A&M2019OA -0.008 / +0.106similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA3545Michigan2018OA +0.092 / +0.163similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA353

2019 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Vanderbilt30-6W-4.0W44U
2vs Murray State63-17W-49.5L61.5O
3vs Arkansas State55-0W-32.5W58.5U
4vs Notre Dame23-17W-15.5L58.5U
6@ Tennessee43-14W-24.0W51O
7vs South Carolina17-20L-20.5L52U
8vs Kentucky21-0W-23.5L45.5U
10@ Florida24-17W-6.5W48U
11vs Missouri27-0W-19.5W48U
12@ Auburn21-14W-3.0W42.5U
13vs Texas A&M19-13W-12.0L43.5U
14@ Georgia Tech52-7W-29.0W46.5O
15@ LSU10-37L+7.0L57U
19@ Baylor26-14W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
3-10
23.1%
Straight Up
11-2
84.6%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS7-5
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
WWLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off37thRush Off69thRed Zone Off69th3rd Down Off56thPass Def99thRush Def93thRed Zone Def76th3rd Down Def91th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.01453th-0.197100th
Red Zone+0.07669th-0.13576th
Third Down+0.06056th-0.19691th
No Garbage Time-0.00246th-0.21299th
First Half+0.01954th-0.23899th
Second Half+0.00851th-0.15795th
Early Downs+0.00851th-0.09684th
Passing Downs-0.03737th-0.29099th
Standard Downs+0.04069th-0.13793th
Goal to Go+0.48097th-0.23976th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.1%Rush 55.9%
Havoc/Game
13.3
Havoc Rate
20.3%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
14.2
Yards/Game
408.1
Pts/Drive
2.38
3rd Down%
41.2%
3&Out%
18.8%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 14 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgiaOpponents
Scoring
Points431176
Points / Game30.812.6
First Downs
Total295222
Rushing12869
Passing143127
Penalty2426
Rushing
Attempts525399
Yards2,5911,045
Yards / Carry4.92.6
Yards / Game185.174.6
Touchdowns212
Passing
Attempts415501
Completions255285
Completion %61.4%56.9%
Yards3,1222,815
Yards / Attempt7.55.6
Touchdowns2616
Interceptions68
Passer Rating142.42111.43
Total Offense
Plays940900
Yards5,7133,860
Yards / Play6.14.3
Yards / Game408.1275.7
Punt Returns
Returns2512
Yards282106
Average11.38.8
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1414
Yards268252
Average19.118.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6195
Yards2,8574,147
Average46.843.7
Interception Returns
Returns86
Yards102105
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles1416
Lost78
Penalties
Penalties7694
Yards685713
Yards / Game48.950.9
Time of Possession
Per Game32:1627:44
Third Downs
Attempts187209
Conversions7766
Conversion %41.2%31.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1023
Conversions66
Conversion %60.0%26.1%
Red Zone
Trips5527
Scores (TD + FG)5220
Score %94.5%74.1%
Touchdowns3613
TD %65.5%48.1%
Field Goals
Attempts3320
Made2712
Pct81.8%60.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4620
Made4620
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts40
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →