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Notre Dame
Fighting IrishBalancedFBS Independents1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.038
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.037
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.239
Defensive EPA/play
-0.230
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.7%
Def Success Rate
39.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
13.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.469
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.40
Peer Context
Where Notre Dame ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense78th
Opp-adjusted defense74th
Offensive EPA/play80th
Defensive EPA/play70th
Offensive success rate80th
Explosiveness33th
Defensive havoc63th
Points per drive59th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Washington2019OA -0.038 / +0.089similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, turnover rate4232Fresno State2022OA +0.017 / +0.055similar: pass defense, offensive success rate, passing offense3853Arkansas2021OA +0.129 / +0.084similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, pass defense3694Louisiana Tech2019OA -0.057 / +0.033similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3665Iowa State2020OA +0.039 / +0.038similar: takeaway rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA349
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wisconsin | 41-13 | W | -20.5 | W | 46.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Rice | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Michigan State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Purdue | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ North Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Stanford | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ BYU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ Navy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Miami | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Boston College | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs SMU | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Syracuse | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 47.5%Rush 52.5%
Havoc/Game
14.0
Havoc Rate
22.6%
TO Margin
+2.0
Explosive/G
13.0
Yards/Game
350.0
Pts/Drive
3.40
3rd Down%
33.3%
3&Out%
30.0%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Notre Dame vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Notre Dame | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 41 | 13 |
| Points / Game | 41.0 | 13.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 20 | 16 |
| Rushing | 8 | 5 |
| Passing | 10 | 10 |
| Penalty | 2 | 1 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 32 | 31 |
| Yards | 111 | 67 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| Yards / Game | 111.0 | 67.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 29 | 30 |
| Completions | 19 | 19 |
| Completion % | 65.5% | 63.3% |
| Yards | 239 | 217 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.2 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Passer Rating | 157.50 | 128.43 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 61 | 61 |
| Yards | 350 | 284 |
| Yards / Play | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Yards / Game | 350.0 | 284.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 1 |
| Yards | 12 | 3 |
| Average | 12.0 | 3.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 2 | 3 |
| Yards | 42 | 51 |
| Average | 21.0 | 17.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 3 | 5 |
| Yards | 108 | 225 |
| Average | 36.0 | 45.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 0 |
| Yards | 55 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Lost | 0 | 1 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 4 | 6 |
| Yards | 41 | 43 |
| Yards / Game | 41.0 | 43.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 31:36 | 28:24 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 9 | 13 |
| Conversions | 3 | 5 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 38.5% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Conversions | 1 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 4 | 2 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 4 | 2 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| TD % | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 2 |
| Made | 2 | 2 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 1 |
| Made | 5 | 1 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.