Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
UGA

Georgia

BulldogsBalanced
Southeastern Conference15-0#2 (+15.40)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

98· A+Overall
Offense
95· ARating
95· APer play
96· AConsistency
94· ABig plays
Defense
98· A+Rating
95· APer play
91· A-Consistency
Situational
82· BRed-zone O
97· A+Red-zone D
74· B3rd down O
91· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.185
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.203
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.183
Defensive EPA/play
-0.176
lower = better
Off Success Rate
54.2%
Def Success Rate
41.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
28.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.359
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.113
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.49

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.60
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.02
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.16
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
-0.30
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#2
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#1
AP 1 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#1
market 1 higher
Recruiting Rank
#2
model & recruiting agree
72 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
96th
Opp-adjusted defense
100th
Offensive EPA/play
96th
Defensive EPA/play
96th
Offensive success rate
97th
Explosiveness
95th
Defensive havoc
74th
Points per drive
96th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Ohio State2025OA +0.173 / +0.241similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate4602Clemson2020OA +0.058 / +0.078similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, turnover rate4583Ohio State2019OA +0.314 / +0.166similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, offensive success rate4384Ohio State2024OA +0.088 / +0.071similar: offensive success rate, turnover rate, defensive success rate4325Notre Dame2023OA +0.085 / +0.178similar: rushing offense, offensive success rate, defensive EPA427

2022 Schedule & Results

15 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Oregon49-3W-17.0W53U
2vs Samford33-0W-52.5L65.5U
3@ South Carolina48-7W-25.0W55P
4vs Kent State39-22W-45.0L62U
5@ Missouri26-22W-28.0L54.5U
6vs Auburn42-10W-28.0W49.5O
7vs Vanderbilt55-0W-38.0W58.5U
9vs Florida42-20W-22.5L56.5O
10vs Tennessee27-13W-8.5W66U
11@ Mississippi State45-19W-16.5W53.5O
12@ Kentucky16-6W-22.5L49.5U
13vs Georgia Tech37-14W-35.5L49O
14vs LSU50-30W-17.5W52O
18vs Ohio State42-41W-6.5L62O
19vs TCU65-7W-13.5W62.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-7
53.3%
O/U Record
7-7-1
50.0%
Straight Up
15-0
100.0%
Home ATS6-5
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS8-7
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
LLWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off96thRush Off93thRed Zone Off83th3rd Down Off75thPass Def86thRush Def84thRed Zone Def98th3rd Down Def92th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.16295th-0.13792th
Red Zone+0.13983th-0.41998th
Third Down+0.20075th-0.23892th
No Garbage Time+0.17995th-0.14992th
First Half+0.19996th-0.21596th
Second Half+0.12290th-0.05663th
Early Downs+0.11491th-0.05664th
Passing Downs+0.26996th-0.17986th
Standard Downs+0.12393th-0.11084th
Goal to Go+0.08871th-0.40391th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.9%Rush 53.1%
Havoc/Game
12.7
Havoc Rate
20.7%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
15.5
Yards/Game
501.1
Pts/Drive
3.49
3rd Down%
51.1%
3&Out%
12.9%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 15 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgiaOpponents
Scoring
Points616214
Points / Game41.114.3
First Downs
Total371233
Rushing14867
Passing204141
Penalty1925
Rushing
Attempts557401
Yards3,0801,155
Yards / Carry5.52.9
Yards / Game205.377.0
Touchdowns447
Passing
Attempts492511
Completions336294
Completion %68.3%57.5%
Yards4,4373,296
Yards / Attempt9.06.5
Touchdowns3115
Interceptions712
Passer Rating161.99116.71
Total Offense
Plays1,049912
Yards7,5174,451
Yards / Play7.24.9
Yards / Game501.1296.7
Punt Returns
Returns236
Yards265110
Average11.518.3
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns2223
Yards437460
Average19.920.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3681
Yards1,6203,405
Average45.042.0
Interception Returns
Returns127
Yards12228
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1713
Lost107
Penalties
Penalties6683
Yards709612
Yards / Game47.340.8
Time of Possession
Per Game33:3726:23
Third Downs
Attempts182199
Conversions9353
Conversion %51.1%26.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1532
Conversions1312
Conversion %86.7%37.5%
Red Zone
Trips8334
Scores (TD + FG)8123
Score %97.6%67.6%
Touchdowns5713
TD %68.7%38.2%
Field Goals
Attempts3223
Made2719
Pct84.4%82.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts7419
Made7319
Pct98.6%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts24
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →