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CLEM
Clemson
TigersBalancedAtlantic Coast Conference10-2#3 (+14.03)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
97· A+Overall
Offense
97· A+Rating
88· BPer play
87· BConsistency
70· BBig plays
Defense
97· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
97· A+Consistency
Situational
63· CRed-zone O
79· BRed-zone D
54· C3rd down O
72· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.058
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.078
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.160
Defensive EPA/play
-0.189
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.5%
Def Success Rate
40.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.349
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.083
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.44
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.29
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.25
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.21
own return game
Return Defense
-0.34
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#3
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#3
model & AP agree
Market (Vegas)
#1
market 2 higher
Recruiting Rank
#6
model 3 spots higher
51 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Clemson ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense92th
Opp-adjusted defense100th
Offensive EPA/play89th
Defensive EPA/play99th
Offensive success rate84th
Explosiveness70th
Defensive havoc99th
Points per drive97th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Georgia2022OA +0.185 / +0.203similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, turnover rate4582Texas2023OA +0.085 / +0.111similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, rushing offense4103Syracuse2026OA +0.031 / +0.060similar: pass defense, rushing offense, passing offense4094Oklahoma2020OA +0.043 / +0.039similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, TD drive rate4035Ohio State2017OA +0.212 / +0.167similar: havoc rate, TD drive rate, takeaway rate398
2020 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @ Wake Forest | 37-13 | W | -32.5 | L | 60 | U |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | 49-0 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Virginia | 41-23 | W | -28.5 | L | 55 | O |
| 6 | vs Miami | 42-17 | W | -14.0 | W | 62.5 | U |
| 7 | @ Georgia Tech | 73-7 | W | -27.3 | W | 63.5 | O |
| 8 | vs Syracuse | 47-21 | W | -46.0 | L | 61.75 | O |
| 9 | vs Boston College | 34-28 | W | -31.0 | L | 61 | O |
| 10 | @ Notre Dame | 40-47 | L | -5.5 | L | 51.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Pittsburgh | 52-17 | W | -23.0 | W | 55.25 | O |
| 14 | @ Virginia Tech | 45-10 | W | -22.0 | W | 66.75 | U |
| 16 | @ Notre Dame | 34-10 | W | -11.0 | W | 60 | U |
| 18 | vs Ohio State | 28-49 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-6
45.5%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
10-2
83.3%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS5-6
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
LWWWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.099 | 79th | -0.149 | 96th |
| Red Zone | +0.057 | 63th | -0.134 | 80th |
| Third Down | +0.103 | 55th | -0.044 | 73th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.165 | 90th | -0.159 | 96th |
| First Half | +0.172 | 87th | -0.039 | 71th |
| Second Half | +0.016 | 48th | -0.258 | 99th |
| Early Downs | +0.067 | 77th | -0.124 | 88th |
| Passing Downs | +0.112 | 66th | -0.128 | 88th |
| Standard Downs | +0.093 | 83th | -0.163 | 95th |
| Goal to Go | -0.019 | 43th | -0.071 | 68th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 54.4%Rush 45.6%
Havoc/Game
18.1
Havoc Rate
27.1%
TO Margin
+0.7
Explosive/G
14.8
Yards/Game
502.3
Pts/Drive
3.44
3rd Down%
46.4%
3&Out%
16.1%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 12 games — Clemson vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Clemson | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 522 | 242 |
| Points / Game | 43.5 | 20.2 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 295 | 192 |
| Rushing | 100 | 65 |
| Passing | 175 | 105 |
| Penalty | 20 | 22 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 411 | 438 |
| Yards | 1,846 | 1,352 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Yards / Game | 153.8 | 112.7 |
| Touchdowns | 33 | 9 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 490 | 343 |
| Completions | 326 | 190 |
| Completion % | 66.5% | 55.4% |
| Yards | 4,182 | 2,570 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 14 |
| Passer Rating | 156.65 | 126.52 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 901 | 781 |
| Yards | 6,028 | 3,922 |
| Yards / Play | 6.7 | 5.0 |
| Yards / Game | 502.3 | 326.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 17 |
| Yards | 123 | 144 |
| Average | 9.5 | 8.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 12 |
| Yards | 434 | 269 |
| Average | 22.8 | 22.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 50 | 75 |
| Yards | 2,118 | 3,291 |
| Average | 42.4 | 43.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 6 |
| Yards | 118 | 105 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 18 | 23 |
| Lost | 9 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 65 | 74 |
| Yards | 578 | 626 |
| Yards / Game | 48.2 | 52.2 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:27 | 29:33 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 179 | 173 |
| Conversions | 83 | 54 |
| Conversion % | 46.4% | 31.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 19 |
| Conversions | 10 | 7 |
| Conversion % | 66.7% | 36.8% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 61 | 31 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 53 | 24 |
| Score % | 86.9% | 77.4% |
| Touchdowns | 43 | 18 |
| TD % | 70.5% | 58.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 16 |
| Made | 18 | 11 |
| Pct | 78.3% | 68.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 65 | 29 |
| Made | 64 | 29 |
| Pct | 98.5% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.