Fourth Down Data
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OU

Oklahoma

SoonersBalanced
Southeastern Conference9-2#4 (+12.95)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

97· A+Overall
Offense
93· ARating
82· BPer play
87· BConsistency
86· BBig plays
Defense
91· A-Rating
81· BPer play
82· BConsistency
Situational
66· CRed-zone O
84· BRed-zone D
46· C3rd down O
83· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.043
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.039
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.117
Defensive EPA/play
-0.075
lower = better
Off Success Rate
52.4%
Def Success Rate
43.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.191
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.029
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.19

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.72
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.50
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.00
own return game
Return Defense
+0.65
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#4
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#6
model 2 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#7
model 3 higher
Recruiting Rank
#6
model 2 spots higher
51 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
90th
Opp-adjusted defense
87th
Offensive EPA/play
83th
Defensive EPA/play
82th
Offensive success rate
91th
Explosiveness
87th
Defensive havoc
95th
Points per drive
91th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Utah State2018OA +0.052 / +0.107similar: passing offense, offensive success rate, TD drive rate4112Clemson2020OA +0.058 / +0.078similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, TD drive rate4033Missouri2023OA +0.124 / +0.067similar: havoc rate, defensive success rate, offensive EPA3884Arizona2023OA +0.091 / +0.078similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, passing offense3865Syracuse2026OA +0.031 / +0.060similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, takeaway rate375

2020 Schedule & Results

11 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
2vs Missouri State48-0W----
4vs Kansas State35-38L-27.5L60.5O
5@ Iowa State30-37L-7.0L63.5O
6vs Texas53-45W-2.0W72.5O
8@ TCU33-14W-6.5W59U
9@ Texas Tech62-28W-14.5W67.5O
10vs Kansas62-9W-38.0W63.5O
12vs Oklahoma State41-13W-7.0W59.75U
14vs Baylor27-14W-21.5L62.5U
16@ Iowa State27-21W-5.8W58U
18vs Florida55-20W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-3
70.0%
O/U Record
6-4
60.0%
Straight Up
9-2
81.8%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS3-1
Favorite ATS7-3
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
WWLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off80thRush Off77thRed Zone Off66th3rd Down Off46thPass Def94thRush Def38thRed Zone Def85th3rd Down Def84th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.10681th-0.03970th
Red Zone+0.07966th-0.16985th
Third Down+0.02646th-0.12884th
No Garbage Time+0.09474th-0.06480th
First Half+0.11177th-0.14292th
Second Half+0.10079th+0.06540th
Early Downs+0.06778th+0.00256th
Passing Downs+0.18180th-0.17594th
Standard Downs+0.07377th+0.04038th
Goal to Go+0.11057th+0.08645th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.4%Rush 53.6%
Havoc/Game
16.7
Havoc Rate
24.0%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
14.9
Yards/Game
494.7
Pts/Drive
3.19
3rd Down%
40.7%
3&Out%
17.4%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 11 games — Oklahoma vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahomaOpponents
Scoring
Points473239
Points / Game43.021.7
First Downs
Total274205
Rushing9664
Passing156109
Penalty2232
Rushing
Attempts419335
Yards1,9771,156
Yards / Carry4.73.5
Yards / Game179.7105.1
Touchdowns2718
Passing
Attempts362408
Completions249226
Completion %68.8%55.4%
Yards3,4652,701
Yards / Attempt9.66.6
Touchdowns3012
Interceptions816
Passer Rating172.12112.86
Total Offense
Plays781743
Yards5,4423,857
Yards / Play7.05.2
Yards / Game494.7350.6
Punt Returns
Returns1610
Yards19867
Average12.46.7
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1540
Yards391884
Average26.122.1
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3968
Yards1,4862,753
Average38.140.5
Interception Returns
Returns168
Yards21535
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1411
Lost63
Penalties
Penalties80100
Yards738798
Yards / Game67.172.5
Time of Possession
Per Game32:1827:42
Third Downs
Attempts135154
Conversions5543
Conversion %40.7%27.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1023
Conversions815
Conversion %80.0%65.2%
Red Zone
Trips5939
Scores (TD + FG)5431
Score %91.5%79.5%
Touchdowns4022
TD %67.8%56.4%
Field Goals
Attempts2817
Made2210
Pct78.6%58.8%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5729
Made5729
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts10
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →