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UGA
Georgia
BulldogsBalancedSoutheastern Conference14-1#1 (+22.57)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
99· A+Overall
Offense
97· A+Rating
95· APer play
91· A-Consistency
89· BBig plays
Defense
99· A+Rating
99· A+Per play
99· A+Consistency
Situational
59· CRed-zone O
98· A+Red-zone D
25· D3rd down O
78· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.166
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.333
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.158
Defensive EPA/play
-0.307
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.4%
Def Success Rate
37.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
17.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.464
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.018
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.27
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+3.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.26
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+1.18
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.31
own return game
Return Defense
+0.81
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#1
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#1
model & AP agree
Market (Vegas)
#2
model 1 higher
Recruiting Rank
#2
model 1 spots higher
72 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense97th
Opp-adjusted defense100th
Offensive EPA/play95th
Defensive EPA/play100th
Offensive success rate80th
Explosiveness90th
Defensive havoc97th
Points per drive98th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Ohio State2025OA +0.173 / +0.241similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, run defense4222Michigan2022OA +0.201 / +0.122similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate4003Ohio State2024OA +0.088 / +0.071similar: TD drive rate, takeaway rate, run defense3924Clemson2020OA +0.058 / +0.078similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, havoc rate3915Michigan2023OA +0.153 / +0.235similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, TD drive rate385
2021 Schedule & Results
15 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Clemson | 10-3 | W | +3.0 | W | 51 | U |
| 2 | vs UAB | 56-7 | W | -28.0 | W | 45.5 | O |
| 3 | vs South Carolina | 40-13 | W | -34.5 | L | 55.5 | U |
| 4 | @ Vanderbilt | 62-0 | W | -36.0 | W | 54 | O |
| 5 | vs Arkansas | 37-0 | W | -18.3 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 6 | @ Auburn | 34-10 | W | -15.5 | W | 46.5 | U |
| 7 | vs Kentucky | 30-13 | W | -23.5 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 9 | @ Florida | 34-7 | W | -14.0 | W | 51 | U |
| 10 | vs Missouri | 43-6 | W | -38.0 | L | 59 | U |
| 11 | @ Tennessee | 41-17 | W | -20.0 | W | 56 | O |
| 12 | vs Charleston Southern | 56-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Georgia Tech | 45-0 | W | -35.0 | W | 54.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Alabama | 24-41 | L | -6.5 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 18 | @ Michigan | 34-11 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 19 | @ Alabama | 33-18 | W | -3.0 | W | 52.75 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
10-4
71.4%
O/U Record
4-9-1
30.8%
Straight Up
14-1
93.3%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS8-1
Favorite ATS9-4
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
WLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.101 | 89th | -0.232 | 99th |
| Red Zone | +0.022 | 60th | -0.529 | 99th |
| Third Down | -0.058 | 25th | -0.094 | 79th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.124 | 92th | -0.304 | 100th |
| First Half | +0.180 | 95th | -0.334 | 99th |
| Second Half | +0.013 | 53th | -0.131 | 88th |
| Early Downs | +0.126 | 95th | -0.208 | 98th |
| Passing Downs | +0.094 | 80th | -0.256 | 95th |
| Standard Downs | +0.104 | 86th | -0.215 | 98th |
| Goal to Go | +0.013 | 59th | -0.655 | 98th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 42.8%Rush 57.2%
Havoc/Game
15.9
Havoc Rate
24.2%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
12.3
Yards/Game
442.9
Pts/Drive
3.27
3rd Down%
45.0%
3&Out%
16.9%
Team Statistics
2021 season totals across 15 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Georgia | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 579 | 153 |
| Points / Game | 38.6 | 10.2 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 339 | 222 |
| Rushing | 150 | 81 |
| Passing | 162 | 118 |
| Penalty | 27 | 23 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 545 | 462 |
| Yards | 2,866 | 1,183 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| Yards / Game | 191.1 | 78.9 |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 3 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 407 | 507 |
| Completions | 264 | 285 |
| Completion % | 64.9% | 56.2% |
| Yards | 3,778 | 2,836 |
| Yards / Attempt | 9.3 | 5.6 |
| Touchdowns | 39 | 10 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 16 |
| Passer Rating | 168.56 | 103.40 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 952 | 969 |
| Yards | 6,644 | 4,019 |
| Yards / Play | 7.0 | 4.1 |
| Yards / Game | 442.9 | 267.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 33 | 12 |
| Yards | 323 | 120 |
| Average | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 17 | 15 |
| Yards | 322 | 195 |
| Average | 18.9 | 13.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 47 | 92 |
| Yards | 2,197 | 3,853 |
| Average | 46.7 | 41.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 16 | 12 |
| Yards | 261 | 172 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 15 |
| Lost | 5 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 77 | 98 |
| Yards | 638 | 764 |
| Yards / Game | 42.5 | 50.9 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:33 | 29:24 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 171 | 239 |
| Conversions | 77 | 84 |
| Conversion % | 45.0% | 35.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 14 | 32 |
| Conversions | 8 | 13 |
| Conversion % | 57.1% | 40.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 69 | 32 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 59 | 20 |
| Score % | 85.5% | 62.5% |
| Touchdowns | 42 | 9 |
| TD % | 60.9% | 28.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 21 |
| Made | 22 | 14 |
| Pct | 81.5% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 72 | 14 |
| Made | 71 | 13 |
| Pct | 98.6% | 92.9% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.