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MINN
Minnesota
Golden GophersBalancedBig Ten Conference1-0#42 (+4.88)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.038
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.048
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.327
Defensive EPA/play
+0.002
lower = better
Off Success Rate
60.6%
Def Success Rate
25.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.325
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.60
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+2.55
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.08
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.62
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+1.81
own return game
Return Defense
+0.04
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Minnesota ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense80th
Opp-adjusted defense16th
Offensive EPA/play91th
Defensive EPA/play36th
Offensive success rate91th
Explosiveness62th
Defensive havoc86th
Points per drive91th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Ohio State2022OA +0.221 / +0.040similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, defensive success rate3762Alabama2018OA +0.280 / +0.145similar: run defense, takeaway rate, turnover rate3613UTSA2025OA -0.014 / +0.000similar: turnover rate, pass defense, TD drive rate3424Wake Forest2022OA +0.103 / -0.002similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, takeaway rate3355NC State2018OA +0.065 / -0.007similar: run defense, pass defense, havoc rate335
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | 59-7 | W | -42.5 | W | 51.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Mississippi State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Akron | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | @ Washington | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | vs Michigan | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Purdue | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Iowa | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ Indiana | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs UCLA | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Penn State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Northwestern | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Wisconsin | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 46.5%Rush 53.5%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
30.2%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
5.60
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Minnesota vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Minnesota | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 59 | 7 |
| Points / Game | 59.0 | 7.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 24 | 4 |
| Rushing | 9 | 1 |
| Passing | 13 | 3 |
| Penalty | 2 | 0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 38 | 28 |
| Yards | 147 | 51 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Yards / Game | 147.0 | 51.0 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 0 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 33 | 15 |
| Completions | 26 | 9 |
| Completion % | 78.8% | 60.0% |
| Yards | 348 | 59 |
| Yards / Attempt | 10.5 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 177.37 | 115.04 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 71 | 43 |
| Yards | 495 | 110 |
| Yards / Play | 7.0 | 2.6 |
| Yards / Game | 495.0 | 110.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 0 |
| Yards | 193 | 0 |
| Average | 38.6 | — |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 2 |
| Yards | 11 | 31 |
| Average | 11.0 | 15.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 2 | 10 |
| Yards | 70 | 445 |
| Average | 35.0 | 44.5 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 0 |
| Yards | 0 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 2 | 2 |
| Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 2 | 6 |
| Yards | 10 | 35 |
| Yards / Game | 10.0 | 35.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 36:21 | 23:39 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 13 |
| Conversions | 10 | 3 |
| Conversion % | 66.7% | 23.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Conversions | 1 | 0 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | — |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 6 | 1 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 6 | 1 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 1 |
| TD % | 83.3% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 1 |
| Made | 8 | 1 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.