← All Teams
IOWA
Iowa
HawkeyesBalancedBig Ten Conference8-5#30 (+4.45)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
78· BOverall
Offense
4· FRating
4· FPer play
2· FConsistency
5· FBig plays
Defense
99· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
95· AConsistency
Situational
10· FRed-zone O
91· A-Red-zone D
2· F3rd down O
97· A+3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.183
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.202
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.275
Defensive EPA/play
-0.258
lower = better
Off Success Rate
36.7%
Def Success Rate
39.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
18.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
18.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.017
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.011
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.18
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+2.15
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.08
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.48
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.16
own return game
Return Defense
+0.43
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#30
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#65
model 35 higher
Recruiting Rank
#37
model 7 spots higher
11 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Iowa ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense2th
Opp-adjusted defense99th
Offensive EPA/play4th
Defensive EPA/play99th
Offensive success rate1th
Explosiveness5th
Defensive havoc77th
Points per drive7th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Wyoming2017OA -0.152 / +0.087similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA4572Michigan State2018OA -0.123 / +0.238similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3793Utah2024OA -0.058 / +0.063similar: pass defense, havoc rate, defensive success rate3494Michigan2024OA -0.043 / +0.043similar: defensive success rate, run defense, passing offense3445Western Michigan2022OA -0.132 / +0.026similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, passing offense333
2022 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs South Dakota State | 7-3 | W | -20.5 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 2 | vs Iowa State | 7-10 | L | -6.5 | L | 41.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Nevada | 27-0 | W | -23.0 | W | 39.5 | U |
| 4 | @ Rutgers | 27-10 | W | -7.5 | W | 34 | O |
| 5 | vs Michigan | 14-27 | L | +11.0 | L | 42 | U |
| 6 | @ Illinois | 6-9 | L | +3.5 | W | 36.5 | U |
| 8 | @ Ohio State | 10-54 | L | +29.0 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Northwestern | 33-13 | W | -11.0 | W | 37.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Purdue | 24-3 | W | +4.5 | W | 41.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Wisconsin | 24-10 | W | +1.5 | W | 35 | U |
| 12 | @ Minnesota | 13-10 | W | -10.5 | L | 38.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Nebraska | 17-24 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 18 | @ Kentucky | 21-0 | W | -2.5 | W | 31 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
4-9
30.8%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS4-3
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.273 | 1th | -0.240 | 98th |
| Red Zone | -0.254 | 10th | -0.287 | 92th |
| Third Down | -0.488 | 2th | -0.358 | 98th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.266 | 5th | -0.261 | 99th |
| First Half | -0.292 | 2th | -0.284 | 98th |
| Second Half | -0.254 | 3th | -0.197 | 96th |
| Early Downs | -0.150 | 12th | -0.228 | 98th |
| Passing Downs | -0.465 | 1th | -0.344 | 100th |
| Standard Downs | -0.158 | 13th | -0.184 | 96th |
| Goal to Go | -0.437 | 7th | -0.690 | 99th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.2%Rush 54.8%
Havoc/Game
14.8
Havoc Rate
21.0%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
10.8
Yards/Game
251.6
Pts/Drive
1.18
3rd Down%
27.8%
3&Out%
28.8%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 13 games — Iowa vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Iowa | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 230 | 173 |
| Points / Game | 17.7 | 13.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 180 | 203 |
| Rushing | 72 | 91 |
| Passing | 94 | 99 |
| Penalty | 14 | 13 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 423 | 465 |
| Yards | 1,234 | 1,317 |
| Yards / Carry | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Yards / Game | 94.9 | 101.3 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 4 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 349 | 418 |
| Completions | 192 | 245 |
| Completion % | 55.0% | 58.6% |
| Yards | 2,037 | 2,203 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 15 |
| Passer Rating | 106.65 | 105.97 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 772 | 883 |
| Yards | 3,271 | 3,520 |
| Yards / Play | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Yards / Game | 251.6 | 270.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 31 | 21 |
| Yards | 300 | 92 |
| Average | 9.7 | 4.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 18 |
| Yards | 443 | 294 |
| Average | 21.1 | 16.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 83 | 85 |
| Yards | 3,766 | 3,467 |
| Average | 45.4 | 40.8 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 7 |
| Yards | 206 | 61 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 18 | 19 |
| Lost | 10 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 53 | 64 |
| Yards | 425 | 520 |
| Yards / Game | 32.7 | 40.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:20 | 31:38 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 176 | 209 |
| Conversions | 49 | 64 |
| Conversion % | 27.8% | 30.6% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 31 |
| Conversions | 5 | 20 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 64.5% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 27 | 34 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 22 | 27 |
| Score % | 81.5% | 79.4% |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 14 |
| TD % | 44.4% | 41.2% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 19 |
| Made | 17 | 16 |
| Pct | 81.0% | 84.2% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 17 |
| Made | 25 | 17 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.