Fourth Down Data
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UTAH

Utah

UtesBalanced
Big 12 Conference5-7#70 (+0.61)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

48· COverall
Offense
11· FRating
9· FPer play
7· FConsistency
4· FBig plays
Defense
91· A-Rating
92· A-Per play
96· AConsistency
Situational
17· DRed-zone O
63· CRed-zone D
1· F3rd down O
92· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.058
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.063
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.138
Defensive EPA/play
-0.142
lower = better
Off Success Rate
39.8%
Def Success Rate
39.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.004
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.112
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.61

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.00
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.48
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.28
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.12
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#70
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#33
market 37 higher
Recruiting Rank
#30
recruiting 40 spots higher
15 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Utah ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
7th
Opp-adjusted defense
96th
Offensive EPA/play
9th
Defensive EPA/play
93th
Offensive success rate
6th
Explosiveness
4th
Defensive havoc
79th
Points per drive
12th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1San Diego State2022OA -0.107 / +0.044similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, offensive success rate4132Michigan State2018OA -0.123 / +0.238similar: defensive success rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA4133TCU2018OA -0.079 / +0.129similar: takeaway rate, passing offense, TD drive rate3904Iowa2023OA -0.201 / +0.172similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, defensive EPA3905Buffalo2025OA -0.180 / -0.001similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, turnover rate375

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Southern Utah49-0W----
2vs Baylor23-12W-17.3L53.5U
3@ Utah State38-21W-18.5L43.5O
4@ Oklahoma State22-19W+2.5W52.5U
5vs Arizona10-23L-10.0L47.5U
7@ Arizona State19-27L----
8vs TCU7-13L-4.5L49U
9@ Houston14-17L-3.5L37U
11vs BYU21-22L+3.5W40.5O
12@ Colorado24-49L+10.5L47O
13vs Iowa State28-31L+9.5W47.5U
14@ UCF28-14W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS1-6
Underdog ATS4-1
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off1thRush Off22thRed Zone Off17th3rd Down Off1thPass Def99thRush Def80thRed Zone Def63th3rd Down Def93th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1426th-0.15097th
Red Zone-0.17317th-0.07363th
Third Down-0.2811th-0.17293th
No Garbage Time-0.1407th-0.15497th
First Half-0.09920th-0.18196th
Second Half-0.1852th-0.11890th
Early Downs-0.07719th-0.09880th
Passing Downs-0.2781th-0.25099th
Standard Downs-0.06022th-0.08580th
Goal to Go-0.08932th-0.13775th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.0%Rush 53.0%
Havoc/Game
14.5
Havoc Rate
21.5%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
12.0
Yards/Game
329.8
Pts/Drive
1.61
3rd Down%
32.7%
3&Out%
25.7%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — Utah vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUtahOpponents
Scoring
Points283248
Points / Game23.620.7
First Downs
Total199198
Rushing8181
Passing103102
Penalty1515
Rushing
Attempts403404
Yards1,5651,553
Yards / Carry3.93.8
Yards / Game130.4129.4
Touchdowns713
Passing
Attempts358380
Completions199199
Completion %55.6%52.4%
Yards2,3932,403
Yards / Attempt6.76.3
Touchdowns2015
Interceptions1712
Passer Rating120.67112.20
Total Offense
Plays761784
Yards3,9583,956
Yards / Play5.25.0
Yards / Game329.8329.7
Punt Returns
Returns2219
Yards124178
Average5.69.4
Touchdowns11
Kickoff Returns
Returns1725
Yards351561
Average20.622.4
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts6167
Yards2,6802,936
Average43.943.8
Interception Returns
Returns1217
Yards24877
Touchdowns30
Fumbles
Fumbles1816
Lost56
Penalties
Penalties6574
Yards555525
Yards / Game46.343.8
Time of Possession
Per Game32:0627:51
Third Downs
Attempts171175
Conversions5648
Conversion %32.7%27.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2028
Conversions916
Conversion %45.0%57.1%
Red Zone
Trips3931
Scores (TD + FG)3425
Score %87.2%80.6%
Touchdowns1917
TD %48.7%54.8%
Field Goals
Attempts2521
Made1913
Pct76.0%61.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2626
Made2625
Pct100.0%96.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts65
Made42
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →