Fourth Down Data
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WASH

Washington

HuskiesBalanced
Big Ten Conference1-0#76 (-0.17)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

45· COverall
Offense
25· DRating
30· DPer play
26· DConsistency
14· FBig plays
Defense
61· CRating
60· CPer play
55· CConsistency
Situational
14· FRed-zone O
45· CRed-zone D
35· D3rd down O
75· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.025
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.023
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.048
Defensive EPA/play
-0.172
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.2%
Def Success Rate
41.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
17.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
14.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.124
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.44
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.09
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.23
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.00
own return game
Return Defense
+0.13
vs opponent returns

Peer Context

Where Washington ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
27th
Opp-adjusted defense
64th
Offensive EPA/play
30th
Defensive EPA/play
61th
Offensive success rate
26th
Explosiveness
15th
Defensive havoc
93th
Points per drive
36th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana2022OA -0.075 / +0.020similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3732UCF2025OA -0.110 / +0.038similar: run defense, pass defense, defensive success rate3633Fresno State2024OA -0.025 / +0.018similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, pass defense3574Texas2025OA -0.022 / +0.134similar: takeaway rate, defensive success rate, rushing offense3545Virginia Tech2024OA +0.002 / +0.048similar: offensive success rate, takeaway rate, defensive success rate349

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Washington State24-10W-24.0L51.5U
2vs Utah State------
3vs Eastern Washington------
4vs Minnesota------
5@ USC------
6vs Iowa------
7@ Purdue------
9@ Nebraska------
10vs Penn State------
11@ Michigan State------
12vs Indiana------
13@ Oregon------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
0-1
0.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
L
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off23thRush Off45thRed Zone Off15th3rd Down Off35thPass Def90thRush Def34thRed Zone Def46th3rd Down Def76th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.04831th-0.17263th
Red Zone-0.39215th-0.04446th
Third Down-0.12335th-0.37576th
No Garbage Time-0.04830th-0.17261th
First Half-0.16722th-0.63994th
Second Half+0.12563th+0.15326th
Early Downs+0.27289th+0.04726th
Passing Downs-0.19623th-0.47490th
Standard Downs+0.00945th-0.00534th
Goal to Go-0.6935th-0th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 54.7%Rush 45.3%
Havoc/Game
19.0
Havoc Rate
33.9%
TO Margin
+3.0
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
402.0
Pts/Drive
2.00
3rd Down%
33.3%
3&Out%
16.7%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — Washington vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatWashingtonOpponents
Scoring
Points2410
Points / Game24.010.0
First Downs
Total2018
Rushing75
Passing119
Penalty24
Rushing
Attempts2931
Yards134100
Yards / Carry4.63.2
Yards / Game134.0100.0
Touchdowns21
Passing
Attempts3525
Completions2416
Completion %68.6%64.0%
Yards268142
Yards / Attempt7.75.7
Touchdowns10
Interceptions02
Passer Rating142.3295.71
Total Offense
Plays6456
Yards402242
Yards / Play6.34.3
Yards / Game402.0242.0
Punt Returns
Returns21
Yards275
Average13.55.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns21
Yards45-2
Average22.5-2.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts44
Yards203183
Average50.845.8
Interception Returns
Returns20
Yards130
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles12
Lost01
Penalties
Penalties126
Yards13050
Yards / Game130.050.0
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1630:44
Third Downs
Attempts129
Conversions40
Conversion %33.3%0.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts21
Conversions01
Conversion %0.0%100.0%
Red Zone
Trips62
Scores (TD + FG)41
Score %66.7%50.0%
Touchdowns31
TD %50.0%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts23
Made11
Pct50.0%33.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts31
Made31
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →