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MD
Maryland
TerrapinsBalancedBig Ten Conference1-0#39 (+4.95)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
72· BOverall
Offense
51· CRating
46· CPer play
43· CConsistency
77· BBig plays
Defense
81· BRating
95· APer play
92· A-Consistency
Situational
47· CRed-zone O
61· C3rd down O
85· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.021
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.097
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.058
Defensive EPA/play
-0.748
lower = better
Off Success Rate
55.1%
Def Success Rate
24.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.806
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
4.25
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.52
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.11
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.31
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Maryland ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense31th
Opp-adjusted defense97th
Offensive EPA/play47th
Defensive EPA/play96th
Offensive success rate77th
Explosiveness78th
Defensive havoc95th
Points per drive70th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Iowa2026OA +0.010 / +0.089similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, run defense4212James Madison2024OA -0.011 / +0.047similar: defensive success rate, pass defense, TD drive rate4033Texas A&M2026OA -0.017 / +0.099similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, run defense3924Northwestern2017OA -0.036 / +0.113similar: run defense, offensive success rate, havoc rate3835App State2017OA -0.032 / +0.085similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, offensive success rate377
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Hampton | 62-0 | W | -45.5 | W | 56.5 | O |
| 2 | @ UConn | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Virginia Tech | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs UCLA | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Nebraska | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Ohio State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs Rutgers | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | vs Illinois | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Purdue | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | vs Wisconsin | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ USC | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Penn State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.186 | 74th | -0.511 | 99th |
| Red Zone | +0.064 | 48th | - | 0th |
| Third Down | +0.226 | 61th | -0.645 | 85th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.058 | 48th | -0.718 | 97th |
| First Half | +0.058 | 52th | -0.718 | 96th |
| Second Half | +0.359 | 90th | -0.304 | 80th |
| Early Downs | +0.259 | 88th | -0.399 | 89th |
| Passing Downs | -0.187 | 24th | -0.589 | 93th |
| Standard Downs | +0.297 | 91th | -0.445 | 93th |
| Goal to Go | +0.016 | 31th | - | 0th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 48.7%Rush 51.3%
Havoc/Game
17.0
Havoc Rate
34.0%
TO Margin
+3.0
Explosive/G
12.0
Yards/Game
646.0
Pts/Drive
4.25
3rd Down%
57.1%
3&Out%
12.5%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Maryland vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Maryland | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 62 | 0 |
| Points / Game | 62.0 | 0.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 31 | 6 |
| Rushing | 17 | 3 |
| Passing | 13 | 3 |
| Penalty | 1 | 0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 40 | 31 |
| Yards | 365 | 10 |
| Yards / Carry | 9.1 | 0.3 |
| Yards / Game | 365.0 | 10.0 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 0 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 38 | 19 |
| Completions | 25 | 10 |
| Completion % | 65.8% | 52.6% |
| Yards | 281 | 75 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.4 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 3 |
| Passer Rating | 145.27 | 54.21 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 78 | 50 |
| Yards | 646 | 85 |
| Yards / Play | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Yards / Game | 646.0 | 85.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 3 | 0 |
| Yards | 58 | 0 |
| Average | 19.3 | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 6 |
| Yards | 0 | 108 |
| Average | — | 18.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 1 | 9 |
| Yards | 46 | 356 |
| Average | 46.0 | 39.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 3 | 0 |
| Yards | 35 | 0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 0 | 2 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 6 | 9 |
| Yards | 70 | 60 |
| Yards / Game | 70.0 | 60.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:03 | 30:57 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 14 | 15 |
| Conversions | 8 | 4 |
| Conversion % | 57.1% | 26.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 0 |
| Conversions | 2 | 0 |
| Conversion % | 66.7% | — |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 10 | 0 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 9 | 0 |
| Score % | 90.0% | — |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 0 |
| TD % | 70.0% | — |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 0 |
| Made | 2 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 0 |
| Made | 8 | 0 |
| Pct | 100.0% | — |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.