Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
CONN

UConn

HuskiesBalanced
FBS Independents1-0#19 (+7.46)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

86· BOverall
Offense
73· BRating
69· CPer play
68· CConsistency
29· DBig plays
Defense
76· BRating
92· A-Per play
96· AConsistency
Situational
70· BRed-zone O
39· DRed-zone D
66· C3rd down O
79· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.013
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.061
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.203
Defensive EPA/play
-0.595
lower = better
Off Success Rate
56.2%
Def Success Rate
40.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
0.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.798
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.00

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.67
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.22
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.31
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.14
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#19
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
model 7 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where UConn ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
56th
Opp-adjusted defense
88th
Offensive EPA/play
70th
Defensive EPA/play
93th
Offensive success rate
82th
Explosiveness
29th
Defensive havoc
47th
Points per drive
84th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1South Alabama2023OA +0.039 / +0.075similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3352South Carolina2026OA +0.069 / +0.042similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, passing offense3343Notre Dame2018OA +0.118 / +0.129similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, passing offense3344Notre Dame2022OA +0.064 / +0.054similar: defensive success rate, takeaway rate, run defense3295Ohio State2026OA +0.057 / +0.028similar: run defense, TD drive rate, passing offense327

2026 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Lafayette56-7W-21.5W52O
2vs Maryland------
3@ Southern Miss------
4@ Miami (OH)------
5vs Syracuse------
6@ Temple------
8vs Massachusetts------
9@ Air Force------
10vs North Carolina------
11vs James Madison------
12vs Old Dominion------
13@ Wyoming------

Betting Profile

ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off77thRush Off66thRed Zone Off71th3rd Down Off67thPass Def82thRush Def41thRed Zone Def39th3rd Down Def80th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.19878th-0.19366th
Red Zone+0.30671th+0.12639th
Third Down+0.33567th-0.48880th
No Garbage Time+0.17571th-0.44390th
First Half+0.17568th-0.44386th
Second Half+0.24280th-0.02442th
Early Downs+0.15074th-0.01539th
Passing Downs+0.37877th-0.36882th
Standard Downs+0.11566th-0.03641th
Goal to Go+0.25944th+2.5282th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.2%Rush 54.8%
Havoc/Game
13.0
Havoc Rate
18.1%
TO Margin
-2.0
Explosive/G
9.0
Yards/Game
671.0
Pts/Drive
5.00
3rd Down%
50.0%
3&Out%
0.0%

Team Statistics

2026 season totals across 1 games — UConn vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUConnOpponents
Scoring
Points567
Points / Game56.07.0
First Downs
Total2919
Rushing124
Passing169
Penalty16
Rushing
Attempts4030
Yards30164
Yards / Carry7.52.1
Yards / Game301.064.0
Touchdowns51
Passing
Attempts3342
Completions2521
Completion %75.8%50.0%
Yards370145
Yards / Attempt11.23.5
Touchdowns30
Interceptions20
Passer Rating187.8279.00
Total Offense
Plays7372
Yards671209
Yards / Play9.22.9
Yards / Game671.0209.0
Punt Returns
Returns40
Yards460
Average11.5—
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns13
Yards3535
Average35.011.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts211
Yards86427
Average43.038.8
Interception Returns
Returns02
Yards06
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles10
Lost00
Penalties
Penalties114
Yards13430
Yards / Game134.030.0
Time of Possession
Per Game31:4228:18
Third Downs
Attempts1218
Conversions66
Conversion %50.0%33.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts31
Conversions20
Conversion %66.7%0.0%
Red Zone
Trips52
Scores (TD + FG)51
Score %100.0%50.0%
Touchdowns51
TD %100.0%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts00
Made00
Pct——
PAT Kicking
Attempts81
Made81
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts00
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →