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FLA
Florida
GatorsRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference1-0
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.067
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.051
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.435
Defensive EPA/play
+0.105
lower = better
Off Success Rate
62.7%
Def Success Rate
50.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
37.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.330
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
5.63
Peer Context
Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense95th
Opp-adjusted defense15th
Offensive EPA/play96th
Defensive EPA/play22th
Offensive success rate96th
Explosiveness99th
Defensive havoc65th
Points per drive93th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Arizona2017OA +0.178 / -0.100similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, TD drive rate4992SMU2017OA +0.140 / -0.078similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA4193Charlotte2019OA +0.119 / -0.146similar: pass defense, run defense, offensive EPA3864Kansas2023OA +0.208 / -0.066similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, havoc rate3805Washington State2024OA +0.048 / -0.028similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA372
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Florida Atlantic | 66-21 | W | -25.5 | W | 59.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Campbell | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Auburn | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Ole Miss | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Missouri | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs South Carolina | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Texas | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | @ Georgia | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | vs Oklahoma | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Kentucky | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Vanderbilt | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Florida State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-0
100.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
1-0
100.0%
Home ATS1-0
Away ATS0-0
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS0-0
Last 5 ATS
W
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Style & Tendencies
Pass 38.8%Rush 61.2%
Havoc/Game
-
Havoc Rate
23.3%
TO Margin
-
Explosive/G
-
Yards/Game
-
Pts/Drive
5.63
3rd Down%
-
3&Out%
0.0%