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WSU
Washington State
CougarsBalancedPac-12 Conference8-5#76 (-0.53)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
44· COverall
Offense
76· BRating
93· APer play
93· AConsistency
95· ABig plays
Defense
22· DRating
21· DPer play
11· FConsistency
Situational
68· CRed-zone O
27· DRed-zone D
79· B3rd down O
33· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.048
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.028
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.144
Defensive EPA/play
+0.061
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.6%
Def Success Rate
48.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.083
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.057
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.87
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.52
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.29
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.32
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.02
own return game
Return Defense
+0.06
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#76
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#23
market 53 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
model 4 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Washington State ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense88th
Opp-adjusted defense22th
Offensive EPA/play94th
Defensive EPA/play22th
Offensive success rate93th
Explosiveness96th
Defensive havoc36th
Points per drive92th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1SMU2017OA +0.140 / -0.078similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate4652Duke2025OA +0.147 / -0.119similar: passing offense, turnover rate, offensive EPA4383BYU2021OA +0.127 / -0.074similar: havoc rate, TD drive rate, offensive success rate4374Kansas2022OA +0.219 / -0.086similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4375Kansas2023OA +0.208 / -0.066similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, pass defense433
2024 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Portland State | 70-30 | W | -28.5 | W | 60 | O |
| 2 | vs Texas Tech | 37-16 | W | +1.0 | W | 66 | U |
| 3 | @ Washington | 24-19 | W | -12.5 | L | 56 | O |
| 4 | vs San José State | 54-52 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Boise State | 24-45 | L | +7.0 | L | 63.5 | O |
| 7 | @ Fresno State | 25-17 | W | -3.5 | W | 61.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Hawai'i | 42-10 | W | -18.5 | W | 55.5 | U |
| 9 | @ San Diego State | 29-26 | W | -14.0 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Utah State | 49-28 | W | -20.5 | W | 70 | O |
| 12 | @ New Mexico | 35-38 | L | -12.5 | L | 72 | O |
| 13 | @ Oregon State | 38-41 | L | -12.5 | L | 56.5 | O |
| 14 | vs Wyoming | 14-15 | L | -17.0 | L | 58.5 | U |
| 18 | vs Syracuse | 35-52 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
6-7
46.2%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS4-5
Underdog ATS2-2
Last 5 ATS
WLLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.157 | 96th | +0.091 | 13th |
| Red Zone | +0.090 | 69th | +0.097 | 28th |
| Third Down | +0.239 | 80th | +0.166 | 33th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.148 | 94th | +0.064 | 22th |
| First Half | +0.210 | 99th | +0.070 | 22th |
| Second Half | +0.096 | 80th | +0.111 | 14th |
| Early Downs | +0.146 | 96th | +0.137 | 1th |
| Passing Downs | +0.175 | 87th | +0.070 | 30th |
| Standard Downs | +0.149 | 95th | +0.102 | 9th |
| Goal to Go | +0.185 | 73th | -0.141 | 76th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.9%Rush 54.1%
Havoc/Game
12.2
Havoc Rate
16.8%
TO Margin
+0.6
Explosive/G
16.8
Yards/Game
442.8
Pts/Drive
2.87
3rd Down%
42.2%
3&Out%
15.0%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 13 games — Washington State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Washington State | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 476 | 389 |
| Points / Game | 36.6 | 29.9 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 298 | 297 |
| Rushing | 118 | 110 |
| Passing | 154 | 159 |
| Penalty | 26 | 28 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 470 | 427 |
| Yards | 2,168 | 2,237 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Yards / Game | 166.8 | 172.1 |
| Touchdowns | 28 | 23 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 399 | 486 |
| Completions | 263 | 307 |
| Completion % | 65.9% | 63.2% |
| Yards | 3,589 | 3,517 |
| Yards / Attempt | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 14 |
| Passer Rating | 164.25 | 135.17 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 869 | 913 |
| Yards | 5,757 | 5,754 |
| Yards / Play | 6.6 | 6.3 |
| Yards / Game | 442.8 | 442.6 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 9 |
| Yards | 93 | 113 |
| Average | 7.2 | 12.6 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 27 | 26 |
| Yards | 612 | 497 |
| Average | 22.7 | 19.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 41 | 45 |
| Yards | 1,714 | 1,825 |
| Average | 41.8 | 40.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 9 |
| Yards | 263 | 76 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 11 | 17 |
| Lost | 5 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 80 | 95 |
| Yards | 752 | 753 |
| Yards / Game | 57.8 | 57.9 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:58 | 31:02 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 154 | 171 |
| Conversions | 65 | 66 |
| Conversion % | 42.2% | 38.6% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 29 |
| Conversions | 15 | 16 |
| Conversion % | 55.6% | 55.2% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 50 | 51 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 42 | 43 |
| Score % | 84.0% | 84.3% |
| Touchdowns | 36 | 32 |
| TD % | 72.0% | 62.7% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 23 |
| Made | 8 | 19 |
| Pct | 61.5% | 82.6% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 58 | 40 |
| Made | 56 | 40 |
| Pct | 96.6% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 9 |
| Made | 3 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.