Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference6-7#69 (-0.03)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

49· COverall
Offense
92· A-Rating
97· A+Per play
78· BConsistency
93· ABig plays
Defense
11· FRating
5· FPer play
8· FConsistency
Situational
98· A+Red-zone O
33· DRed-zone D
91· A-3rd down O
12· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.219
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.086
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.199
Defensive EPA/play
+0.132
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.7%
Def Success Rate
49.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.067
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.058
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.86

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.16
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.72
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.46
own return game
Return Defense
+0.23
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#69
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#90
model 21 higher
Recruiting Rank
#64
recruiting 5 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
99th
Opp-adjusted defense
15th
Offensive EPA/play
98th
Defensive EPA/play
5th
Offensive success rate
82th
Explosiveness
94th
Defensive havoc
11th
Points per drive
88th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Washington State2024OA +0.048 / -0.028similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4372BYU2021OA +0.127 / -0.074similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, run defense3863UCLA2022OA +0.171 / -0.041similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, defensive success rate3814Cincinnati2025OA +0.189 / -0.095similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA3795Louisiana2018OA +0.079 / -0.152similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, havoc rate367

2022 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Tennessee Tech56-10W----
2@ West Virginia55-42W+12.0W57.5O
3@ Houston48-30W+8.5W58O
4vs Duke35-27W-7.5W65.5U
5vs Iowa State14-11W+3.0W59U
6vs TCU31-38L+5.3L67.5O
7@ Oklahoma42-52L+9.0L62.5O
8@ Baylor23-35L+8.0L58P
10vs Oklahoma State37-16W+2.0W65.5U
11@ Texas Tech28-43L+3.5L64.5O
12vs Texas14-55L+9.0L64O
13@ Kansas State27-47L+12.0L62.5O
18@ Arkansas53-55L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
9-3-1
75.0%
Straight Up
6-7
46.2%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS2-0
Underdog ATS5-6
Last 5 ATS
WLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off98thRush Off96thRed Zone Off99th3rd Down Off92thPass Def13thRush Def7thRed Zone Def33th3rd Down Def13th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.20599th+0.1197th
Red Zone+0.39499th+0.07233th
Third Down+0.41792th+0.31513th
No Garbage Time+0.21298th+0.1285th
First Half+0.24699th+0.1487th
Second Half+0.16496th+0.08813th
Early Downs+0.13095th+0.08212th
Passing Downs+0.31998th+0.14313th
Standard Downs+0.14996th+0.1077th
Goal to Go+0.20479th+0.08730th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.4%Rush 54.6%
Havoc/Game
11.3
Havoc Rate
14.6%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
15.8
Yards/Game
437.9
Pts/Drive
2.86
3rd Down%
50.6%
3&Out%
20.7%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 13 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points463461
Points / Game35.635.5
First Downs
Total267323
Rushing102143
Passing147155
Penalty1825
Rushing
Attempts446564
Yards2,3862,719
Yards / Carry5.34.8
Yards / Game183.5209.2
Touchdowns2937
Passing
Attempts371428
Completions242277
Completion %65.2%64.7%
Yards3,3073,382
Yards / Attempt8.97.9
Touchdowns3221
Interceptions812
Passer Rating164.26141.68
Total Offense
Plays817992
Yards5,6936,101
Yards / Play7.06.2
Yards / Game437.9469.3
Punt Returns
Returns411
Yards1576
Average3.86.9
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2423
Yards410539
Average17.123.4
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4338
Yards1,7051,608
Average39.742.3
Interception Returns
Returns128
Yards20830
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles2114
Lost1110
Penalties
Penalties6962
Yards605508
Yards / Game46.539.1
Time of Possession
Per Game28:5131:09
Third Downs
Attempts158194
Conversions8092
Conversion %50.6%47.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1928
Conversions919
Conversion %47.4%67.9%
Red Zone
Trips6265
Scores (TD + FG)5455
Score %87.1%84.6%
Touchdowns4641
TD %74.2%63.1%
Field Goals
Attempts1422
Made817
Pct57.1%77.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5753
Made5752
Pct100.0%98.1%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts66
Made24
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →