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UCLA
UCLA
BruinsBalancedBig Ten Conference9-4#52 (+2.51)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
62· COverall
Offense
93· ARating
95· APer play
98· A+Consistency
92· A-Big plays
Defense
23· DRating
19· DPer play
11· FConsistency
Situational
56· CRed-zone O
20· DRed-zone D
94· A3rd down O
39· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.171
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.041
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.188
Defensive EPA/play
+0.069
lower = better
Off Success Rate
56.2%
Def Success Rate
49.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.119
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.073
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.50
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.91
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.39
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.78
own return game
Return Defense
-0.72
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#52
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#21
AP 31 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#21
market 31 higher
Recruiting Rank
#31
recruiting 21 spots higher
15 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UCLA ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense93th
Opp-adjusted defense32th
Offensive EPA/play96th
Defensive EPA/play20th
Offensive success rate100th
Explosiveness93th
Defensive havoc18th
Points per drive97th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Ole Miss2020OA +0.070 / -0.080similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, havoc rate4592North Carolina2021OA +0.091 / -0.074similar: passing offense, pass defense, takeaway rate4433Washington State2024OA +0.048 / -0.028similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4124Oklahoma2017OA +0.313 / -0.052similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate4095SMU2022OA +0.037 / -0.085similar: passing offense, havoc rate, takeaway rate391
2022 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bowling Green | 45-17 | W | -23.5 | W | 57 | O |
| 2 | vs Alabama State | 45-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs South Alabama | 32-31 | W | -15.5 | L | 59.5 | O |
| 4 | @ Colorado | 45-17 | W | -21.5 | W | 57 | O |
| 5 | vs Washington | 40-32 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Utah | 42-32 | W | +2.5 | W | 53.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Oregon | 30-45 | L | +6.0 | L | 69.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Stanford | 38-13 | W | -16.5 | W | 66.5 | U |
| 10 | @ Arizona State | 50-36 | W | -10.5 | W | 66 | O |
| 11 | vs Arizona | 28-34 | L | -19.5 | L | 77.5 | U |
| 12 | vs USC | 45-48 | L | -10.0 | L | 60.5 | O |
| 13 | @ California | 35-28 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 18 | vs Pittsburgh | 35-37 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
10-2
83.3%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS4-4
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS4-4
Underdog ATS2-2
Last 5 ATS
WLLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.186 | 97th | +0.065 | 20th |
| Red Zone | +0.040 | 56th | +0.144 | 20th |
| Third Down | +0.438 | 95th | +0.106 | 39th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.187 | 96th | +0.086 | 14th |
| First Half | +0.238 | 98th | +0.084 | 19th |
| Second Half | +0.131 | 93th | +0.045 | 23th |
| Early Downs | +0.146 | 97th | +0.022 | 28th |
| Passing Downs | +0.253 | 95th | +0.100 | 20th |
| Standard Downs | +0.160 | 97th | +0.050 | 17th |
| Goal to Go | -0.034 | 48th | +0.221 | 16th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.0%Rush 55.0%
Havoc/Game
11.1
Havoc Rate
15.2%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
18.2
Yards/Game
503.6
Pts/Drive
3.50
3rd Down%
50.9%
3&Out%
9.6%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 13 games — UCLA vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UCLA | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 510 | 377 |
| Points / Game | 39.2 | 29.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 334 | 296 |
| Rushing | 158 | 115 |
| Passing | 158 | 159 |
| Penalty | 18 | 22 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 514 | 444 |
| Yards | 3,084 | 1,700 |
| Yards / Carry | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Yards / Game | 237.2 | 130.8 |
| Touchdowns | 36 | 18 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 420 | 486 |
| Completions | 292 | 318 |
| Completion % | 69.5% | 65.4% |
| Yards | 3,463 | 3,549 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.2 | 7.3 |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 25 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 11 |
| Passer Rating | 155.86 | 139.22 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 934 | 930 |
| Yards | 6,547 | 5,249 |
| Yards / Play | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| Yards / Game | 503.6 | 403.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 11 |
| Yards | 56 | 118 |
| Average | 5.1 | 10.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 39 | 26 |
| Yards | 730 | 512 |
| Average | 18.7 | 19.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 27 | 49 |
| Yards | 1,109 | 2,074 |
| Average | 41.1 | 42.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 12 |
| Yards | 182 | 144 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 18 | 16 |
| Lost | 8 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 83 | 71 |
| Yards | 677 | 603 |
| Yards / Game | 52.1 | 46.4 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 27:22 | 32:36 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 163 | 180 |
| Conversions | 83 | 71 |
| Conversion % | 50.9% | 39.4% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 30 |
| Conversions | 15 | 21 |
| Conversion % | 57.7% | 70.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 69 | 52 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 58 | 46 |
| Score % | 84.1% | 88.5% |
| Touchdowns | 47 | 34 |
| TD % | 68.1% | 65.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 23 |
| Made | 15 | 19 |
| Pct | 71.4% | 82.6% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 63 | 38 |
| Made | 63 | 38 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 7 |
| Made | 2 | 6 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.