Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksRun-Heavy
Big 12 Conference9-4#37 (+3.82)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

73· BOverall
Offense
91· A-Rating
96· APer play
87· BConsistency
82· BBig plays
Defense
39· DRating
18· DPer play
12· FConsistency
Situational
71· BRed-zone O
4· FRed-zone D
84· B3rd down O
11· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.208
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.066
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.196
Defensive EPA/play
+0.077
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.5%
Def Success Rate
49.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.120
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.210
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.91

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.44
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.22
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.06
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#37
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#23
AP 14 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#42
model 5 higher
Recruiting Rank
#76
model 39 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
99th
Opp-adjusted defense
20th
Offensive EPA/play
97th
Defensive EPA/play
18th
Offensive success rate
92th
Explosiveness
83th
Defensive havoc
67th
Points per drive
91th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Washington State2024OA +0.048 / -0.028similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, pass defense4332Charlotte2019OA +0.119 / -0.146similar: run defense, rushing offense, defensive EPA4323Louisville2019OA +0.103 / -0.077similar: pass defense, passing offense, defensive EPA4044UCLA2021OA +0.125 / -0.079similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3995Arizona2017OA +0.178 / -0.100similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, pass defense393

2023 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Missouri State48-17W-3.5W56.5O
2vs Illinois34-23W----
3@ Nevada31-24W-28.0L58U
4vs BYU38-27W-9.5W55O
5@ Texas14-40L+16.5L61.5U
6vs UCF51-22W-2.0W65O
7@ Oklahoma State32-39L-3.0L58O
9vs Oklahoma38-33W+10.0W65.5O
10@ Iowa State28-21W+2.5W54U
11vs Texas Tech13-16L-3.5L61U
12vs Kansas State27-31L+8.0W56.5O
13@ Cincinnati49-16W-6.0W58.5O
18@ UNLV49-36W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
9-4
69.2%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS5-4
Underdog ATS3-1
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off86thRush Off99thRed Zone Off72th3rd Down Off85thPass Def13thRush Def25thRed Zone Def4th3rd Down Def11th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.20698th+0.10211th
Red Zone+0.10072th+0.2854th
Third Down+0.35485th+0.40211th
No Garbage Time+0.19997th+0.08714th
First Half+0.23996th+0.01843th
Second Half+0.17398th+0.1871th
Early Downs+0.23399th+0.03721th
Passing Downs+0.21686th+0.17813th
Standard Downs+0.20199th+0.06425th
Goal to Go+0.04454th+0.4345th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 38.4%Rush 61.6%
Havoc/Game
13.3
Havoc Rate
19.9%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
15.1
Yards/Game
446.1
Pts/Drive
2.91
3rd Down%
48.3%
3&Out%
16.4%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 13 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points452345
Points / Game34.826.5
First Downs
Total279267
Rushing122109
Passing134132
Penalty2326
Rushing
Attempts499472
Yards2,6782,100
Yards / Carry5.44.4
Yards / Game206.0161.5
Touchdowns3226
Passing
Attempts311382
Completions200253
Completion %64.3%66.2%
Yards3,1212,817
Yards / Attempt10.07.4
Touchdowns2416
Interceptions1114
Passer Rating167.00134.67
Total Offense
Plays810854
Yards5,7994,917
Yards / Play7.25.8
Yards / Game446.1378.2
Punt Returns
Returns62
Yards119-6
Average19.8-3.0
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns3116
Yards616289
Average19.918.1
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3348
Yards1,2941,966
Average39.241.0
Interception Returns
Returns1411
Yards17748
Touchdowns30
Fumbles
Fumbles1615
Lost64
Penalties
Penalties7369
Yards740659
Yards / Game56.950.7
Time of Possession
Per Game30:3929:12
Third Downs
Attempts145166
Conversions7069
Conversion %48.3%41.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1920
Conversions712
Conversion %36.8%60.0%
Red Zone
Trips5050
Scores (TD + FG)4349
Score %86.0%98.0%
Touchdowns3435
TD %68.0%70.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1523
Made1117
Pct73.3%73.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5530
Made5330
Pct96.4%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts614
Made04
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →